Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 13/09, 13:00

Prediction: Odd BK (W) vs IK Start (W)

Team pages: Odd BK (W) · IK Start (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Odd BK (W)1.13

IK Start (W)2.05

1X2

20% 22% 58%

Odd BK (W) Draw IK Start (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Odd BK (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWDLL

IK Start (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Odd BK (W) 1–2 IK Start (W) (3 last)

IK Start (W)2-1Odd BK (W)
Odd BK (W)0-2IK Start (W)
IK Start (W)0-1Odd BK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odd BK (W) 1496 · IK Start (W) 1593

	Odd BK (W)	Draw	IK Start (W)
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Start (W) (rating 1496 vs 1593).
H2H favours IK Start (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odd BK (W)	IK Start (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.10

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:58 +22’	4.50	4.10	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd BK (W) 1–0–2 IK Start (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	IK Start (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Odd BK (W)
14/09/25 Norway Division 1 Women	Odd BK (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	IK Start (W)
11/05/25 Norway Division 1 Women	IK Start (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Odd BK (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	16	13	2	1	41	18	41
2	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	16	11	2	3	45	13	35
3	Asane (W)	15	10	4	1	25	10	34
4	Viking FK (W)	16	10	3	3	44	18	33
5	TIL 2020 Women	16	9	2	5	33	13	29
6	Odd BK (W)	16	5	5	6	20	25	20
7	Grei (W)	15	5	1	9	30	30	16
8	Fyllingsdalen (W)	16	5	0	11	23	39	15
9	Kolbotn Women	15	4	2	9	22	32	14
10	Bryne (W)	15	4	2	9	12	26	14
11	Frigg (W)	16	3	1	12	11	40	10
12	Klepp (W)	16	3	0	13	18	60	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odd BK (W)	IK Start (W)
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	0-3 L	0-3 L
Frigg (W)	1-1 D	5-0 W
Grei (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Viking FK (W)	0-3 L	5-2 W
Kolbotn Women	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IK Start (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odd BK (W)

WDDWWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-4	2	0	L
23/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
09/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
01/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
27/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/06	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
31/05	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/05	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-1	4	1	W

IK Start (W)

WWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-1	6	0	W
22/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	5-2	1	3	W
16/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
09/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
02/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	3-1	5	2	W
28/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-1	8	1	W
14/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	4-2	10	1	W
31/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-0	8	0	W
15/05	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd BK (W) vs IK Start (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IK Start (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Odd BK (W) 20%, draw 22%, IK Start (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Odd BK (W) vs IK Start (W)?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Odd BK (W) 1.13 · IK Start (W) 2.05), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd BK (W) vs IK Start (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.