Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 20/09, 14:30

Prediction: Grei (W) vs TIL 2020 Women

Team pages: Grei (W) · TIL 2020 Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Grei (W)1.61

TIL 2020 Women1.52

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Grei (W) Draw TIL 2020 Women

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Grei (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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TIL 2020 Women 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Grei (W) 0–1–2 TIL 2020 Women (3 last)

TIL 2020 Women1-1Grei (W)
Grei (W)0-4TIL 2020 Women
TIL 2020 Women6-0Grei (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TIL 2020 Women (rating 1477 vs 1518).
H2H favours TIL 2020 Women: 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grei (W)	TIL 2020 Women
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 3.2	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.94

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.21 → 4.21	Pinn 4.21
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.90
2	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +19’	4.21	3.90	1.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grei (W) 0–1–2 TIL 2020 Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	1-1 HT 0-0	Grei (W)
02/09/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	TIL 2020 Women
03/06/23 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	6-0 HT 2-0	Grei (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	17	14	2	1	42	18	44
2	Viking FK (W)	18	12	3	3	55	18	39
3	Asane (W)	17	11	5	1	30	11	38
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	17	11	2	4	47	17	35
5	TIL 2020 Women	17	9	3	5	35	15	30
6	Odd BK (W)	18	6	5	7	24	26	23
7	Fyllingsdalen (W)	18	6	0	12	27	47	18
8	Grei (W)	17	5	2	10	31	36	17
9	Bryne (W)	17	5	2	10	17	30	17
10	Kolbotn Women	16	4	3	9	24	34	15
11	Frigg (W)	17	3	1	13	11	44	10
12	Klepp (W)	17	3	0	14	18	65	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grei (W)	TIL 2020 Women
Asane (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Bryne (W)	0-5 L	4-1 W
Klepp (W)	4-0 W	2-0 W
Kolbotn Women	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Grei (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grei (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-5	6	3	L
30/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	4-0	9	1	W
16/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
09/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
28/06	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
21/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
14/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-4	0	1	L
30/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L

TIL 2020 Women

WLLWLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
31/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
23/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/06	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
31/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grei (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grei (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Grei (W) 39%, draw 26%, TIL 2020 Women 35%.

How many goals are expected in Grei (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Grei (W) 1.61 · TIL 2020 Women 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Grei (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.