Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Team pages: Fyllingsdalen (W) · Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Fyllingsdalen (W)1.21
Arna-Bjørnar (W)2.58
1X2
Fyllingsdalen (W)
Draw
Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Fyllingsdalen (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Arna-Bjørnar (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fyllingsdalen (W)
1–5
Arna-Bjørnar (W)
(6 last)
- Arna-Bjørnar (W)2-1Fyllingsdalen (W)
- Fyllingsdalen (W)2-0Arna-Bjørnar (W)
- Arna-Bjørnar (W)3-2Fyllingsdalen (W)
- Arna-Bjørnar (W)1-0Fyllingsdalen (W)
- Fyllingsdalen (W)1-2Arna-Bjørnar (W)
- Fyllingsdalen (W)0-3Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fyllingsdalen (W) 1486 · Arna-Bjørnar (W) 1605
| Fyllingsdalen (W) | Draw | Arna-Bjørnar (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| Market | 15% | 19% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arna-Bjørnar (W) (rating 1486 vs 1605).
- H2H favours Arna-Bjørnar (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fyllingsdalen (W) | Arna-Bjørnar (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 3.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 3.7 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fyllingsdalen (W) 1–0–5 Arna-Bjørnar (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women | Arna-Bjørnar (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Fyllingsdalen (W) |
| 03/08/25 Norway Division 1 Women | Fyllingsdalen (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) |
| 07/05/25 Norway Cup Women | Arna-Bjørnar (W) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Fyllingsdalen (W) |
| 22/04/25 Norway Division 1 Women | Arna-Bjørnar (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fyllingsdalen (W) |
| 12/06/24 Norway Cup Women | Fyllingsdalen (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) |
| 11/08/21 Norway Cup Women | Fyllingsdalen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) |
Standings · Norway Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IK Start (W) | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Asane (W) | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Viking FK (W) | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 33 |
| 5 | TIL 2020 Women | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Odd BK (W) | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 20 |
| 7 | Grei (W) | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 16 |
| 8 | Fyllingsdalen (W) | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 39 | 15 |
| 9 | Kolbotn Women | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 10 | Bryne (W) | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 14 |
| 11 | Frigg (W) | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 40 | 10 |
| 12 | Klepp (W) | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fyllingsdalen (W) | Arna-Bjørnar (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Odd BK (W) | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| TIL 2020 Women | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Bryne (W) | 1-0 W | 6-2 W |
| Klepp (W) | 4-5 L | 6-0 W |
| Asane (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Arna-Bjørnar (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fyllingsdalen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
3-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Arna-Bjørnar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
4-0 | 9-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arna-Bjørnar (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Fyllingsdalen (W) 15%, draw 19%, Arna-Bjørnar (W) 66%.
How many goals are expected in Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Fyllingsdalen (W) 1.21 · Arna-Bjørnar (W) 2.58), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.