Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: IK Start (W) vs Klepp (W)

Team pages: IK Start (W) · Klepp (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.69Total

IK Start (W)3.34

Klepp (W)1.34

1X2

85% 8% 7%

IK Start (W) Draw Klepp (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Start (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Klepp (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

IK Start (W) 1–0 Klepp (W) (1 last)

Klepp (W)0-2IK Start (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Start (W) 1586 · Klepp (W) 1413

	IK Start (W)	Draw	Klepp (W)
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	93%	4%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.69 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Start (W) (rating 1586 vs 1413).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Start (W)	Klepp (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1	0.7 / 4.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	0.2 / 2.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.02

X23.00

234.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.25)1.98

2 (+4.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.90

Under 4.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	23.00 → 23.00	Bet365 23.00
2	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +24’	1.02	23.00	34.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Start (W) 1–0–0 Klepp (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Klepp (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	IK Start (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	17	14	2	1	42	18	44
2	Viking FK (W)	18	12	3	3	55	18	39
3	Asane (W)	17	11	5	1	30	11	38
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	17	11	2	4	47	17	35
5	TIL 2020 Women	17	9	3	5	35	15	30
6	Odd BK (W)	18	6	5	7	24	26	23
7	Fyllingsdalen (W)	18	6	0	12	27	47	18
8	Grei (W)	17	5	2	10	31	36	17
9	Bryne (W)	17	5	2	10	17	30	17
10	Kolbotn Women	16	4	3	9	24	34	15
11	Frigg (W)	17	3	1	13	11	44	10
12	Klepp (W)	17	3	0	14	18	65	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Start (W)	Klepp (W)
Viking FK (W)	5-2 W	0-5 L
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
Frigg (W)	5-0 W	1-2 L
Grei (W)	3-1 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: IK Start (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Start (W)

WWWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
30/08	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-1	6	0	W
22/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	5-2	1	3	W
16/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
09/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
02/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	3-1	5	2	W
28/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-1	8	1	W
14/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	4-2	10	1	W
31/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-0	8	0	W

Klepp (W)

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-5	3	3	L
05/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
30/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
23/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
09/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	5-4	2	3	W
02/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-5	0-6	–	–	L
20/06	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
14/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-4	1-9	3	5	L
31/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-2	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Start (W) vs Klepp (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Start (W) win (85%). Probabilities: IK Start (W) 85%, draw 8%, Klepp (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in IK Start (W) vs Klepp (W)?

The model expects 4.69 goals (IK Start (W) 3.34 · Klepp (W) 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Start (W) vs Klepp (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.