Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: IK Start (W) vs Fyllingsdalen (W)

Team pages: IK Start (W) · Fyllingsdalen (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

IK Start (W)2.58

Fyllingsdalen (W)1.27

1X2

65% 19% 16%

IK Start (W) Draw Fyllingsdalen (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Start (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWDWW

Fyllingsdalen (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLLWW

Head-to-head

IK Start (W) 1–1–1 Fyllingsdalen (W) (3 last)

Fyllingsdalen (W)1-3IK Start (W)
IK Start (W)1-1Fyllingsdalen (W)
Fyllingsdalen (W)1-0IK Start (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Start (W) 1594 · Fyllingsdalen (W) 1492

	IK Start (W)	Draw	Fyllingsdalen (W)
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	65%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Start (W) (rating 1594 vs 1492).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Start (W)	Fyllingsdalen (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.7	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.3	1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	2.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:27 +3’	1.38	4.75	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Start (W) 1–1–1 Fyllingsdalen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Fyllingsdalen (W)	1-3 HT 0-3	IK Start (W)
12/10/25 Norway Division 1 Women	IK Start (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Fyllingsdalen (W)
30/03/25 Norway Division 1 Women	Fyllingsdalen (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	IK Start (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	21	17	3	1	53	18	54
2	Asane (W)	21	14	6	1	43	17	48
3	Viking FK (W)	21	14	4	3	60	21	46
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	21	14	3	4	67	21	45
5	TIL 2020 Women	21	9	4	8	39	22	31
6	Grei (W)	21	8	2	11	40	50	26
7	Odd BK (W)	21	6	6	9	27	32	24
8	Fyllingsdalen (W)	21	8	0	13	32	49	24
9	Bryne (W)	21	7	2	12	25	40	23
10	Kolbotn Women	21	6	3	12	31	43	21
11	Frigg (W)	21	3	1	17	14	57	10
12	Klepp (W)	21	3	0	18	21	82	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Start (W)	Fyllingsdalen (W)
Bryne (W)	6-0 W	1-0 W
TIL 2020 Women	1-0 W	1-2 L
Asane (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Klepp (W)	4-0 W	4-5 L
Odd BK (W)	1-0 W	4-2 W
Kolbotn Women	3-1 W	3-0 W
Viking FK (W)	5-2 W	0-6 L
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	0-3 L	4-2 W
Frigg (W)	5-0 W	2-1 W
Grei (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	8 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: IK Start (W) (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Start (W)

WWLWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	4-0	6-0	7	1	W
04/10	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
27/09	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
20/09	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
13/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
30/08	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-1	6	0	W
22/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	5-2	1	3	W
16/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
09/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
02/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	3-1	5	1	W

Fyllingsdalen (W)

LLWLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
04/10	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-1	11	2	W
27/09	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
19/09	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-6	0-6	2	1	L
13/09	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-1	4-2	2	1	W
04/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
23/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
09/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-2	4-5	8	1	L
02/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Start (W) vs Fyllingsdalen (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Start (W) win (65%). Probabilities: IK Start (W) 65%, draw 19%, Fyllingsdalen (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in IK Start (W) vs Fyllingsdalen (W)?

The model expects 3.85 goals (IK Start (W) 2.58 · Fyllingsdalen (W) 1.27), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Start (W) vs Fyllingsdalen (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.