Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Viking FK (W) vs Grei (W)

Team pages: Viking FK (W) · Grei (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Viking FK (W)3

Grei (W)1

1X2

81% 12% 6%

Viking FK (W) Draw Grei (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Viking FK (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWWWD

Grei (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDWWLW

Head-to-head

Viking FK (W) 1–0 Grei (W) (1 last)

Grei (W)1-3Viking FK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viking FK (W) 1604 · Grei (W) 1511

	Viking FK (W)	Draw	Grei (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	85%	11%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (W) (rating 1604 vs 1511).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viking FK (W)	Grei (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1	1.8 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.3	1.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.10

X8.50

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.88

2 (+2.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Pinn 1.10 ★
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +9’	1.10	8.50	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +133’	1.10	8.49	13.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking FK (W) 1–0–0 Grei (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Viking FK (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	21	17	3	1	53	18	54
2	Asane (W)	21	14	6	1	43	17	48
3	Viking FK (W)	21	14	4	3	60	21	46
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	21	14	3	4	67	21	45
5	TIL 2020 Women	21	9	4	8	39	22	31
6	Grei (W)	21	8	2	11	40	50	26
7	Odd BK (W)	21	6	6	9	27	32	24
8	Fyllingsdalen (W)	21	8	0	13	32	49	24
9	Bryne (W)	21	7	2	12	25	40	23
10	Kolbotn Women	21	6	3	12	31	43	21
11	Frigg (W)	21	3	1	17	14	57	10
12	Klepp (W)	21	3	0	18	21	82	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viking FK (W)	Grei (W)
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	2-2 D	0-10 L
Bryne (W)	2-1 W	0-5 L
Frigg (W)	1-0 W	5-2 W
Fyllingsdalen (W)	6-0 W	1-0 W
Klepp (W)	5-0 W	4-0 W
Asane (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
TIL 2020 Women	1-0 W	3-2 W
IK Start (W)	2-5 L	1-3 L
Kolbotn Women	6-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viking FK (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viking FK (W)

WLLWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
26/09	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	6-0	6-0	4	1	W
13/09	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	5-0	4	3	W
04/09	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
31/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
22/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	2-5	5	3	L
15/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
09/08	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	6-0	13	0	W

Grei (W)

LLWWLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	5-2	8	1	W
03/10	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-4	0-10	–	–	L
27/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
20/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
16/09	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-5	6	3	L
30/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	4-0	9	1	W
16/08	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
09/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viking FK (W) vs Grei (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking FK (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Viking FK (W) 81%, draw 12%, Grei (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Viking FK (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Viking FK (W) 3 · Grei (W) 1), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viking FK (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.