Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Kolbotn Women vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)

Team pages: Kolbotn Women · Arna-Bjørnar (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Kolbotn Women1.32

Arna-Bjørnar (W)2.62

1X2

17% 18% 65%

Kolbotn Women Draw Arna-Bjørnar (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kolbotn Women 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLWLL

Arna-Bjørnar (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWD

Head-to-head

Kolbotn Women 5–1–0 Arna-Bjørnar (W) (6 last)

Arna-Bjørnar (W)1-1Kolbotn Women
Arna-Bjørnar (W)1-2Kolbotn Women
Arna-Bjørnar (W)0-2Kolbotn Women
Kolbotn Women4-1Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Kolbotn Women3-1Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Arna-Bjørnar (W)0-5Kolbotn Women

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolbotn Women 1474 · Arna-Bjørnar (W) 1611

	Kolbotn Women	Draw	Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Our model	17%	19%	65%
Market	17%	18%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arna-Bjørnar (W) (rating 1474 vs 1611).
H2H favours Kolbotn Women: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kolbotn Women	Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	4.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	4.3 / 9.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X5.00

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +6’	5.25	5.00	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolbotn Women 5–1–0 Arna-Bjørnar (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Kolbotn Women
08/09/24 Norway Toppserien Women	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Kolbotn Women
13/08/24 Norway Toppserien Women	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Kolbotn Women
27/04/24 Norway Toppserien Women	Kolbotn Women	4-1 HT 3-1	Arna-Bjørnar (W)
30/10/22 Norway Toppserien Women Play-Offs	Kolbotn Women	3-1 HT 2-1	Arna-Bjørnar (W)
25/05/22 Norway Toppserien Women	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	0-5 HT 0-3	Kolbotn Women

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	21	17	3	1	53	18	54
2	Asane (W)	21	14	6	1	43	17	48
3	Viking FK (W)	21	14	4	3	60	21	46
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	21	14	3	4	67	21	45
5	TIL 2020 Women	21	9	4	8	39	22	31
6	Grei (W)	21	8	2	11	40	50	26
7	Odd BK (W)	21	6	6	9	27	32	24
8	Fyllingsdalen (W)	21	8	0	13	32	49	24
9	Bryne (W)	21	7	2	12	25	40	23
10	Kolbotn Women	21	6	3	12	31	43	21
11	Frigg (W)	21	3	1	17	14	57	10
12	Klepp (W)	21	3	0	18	21	82	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kolbotn Women	Arna-Bjørnar (W)
Asane (W)	3-4 L	2-0 W
Fyllingsdalen (W)	0-3 L	2-4 L
Klepp (W)	2-0 W	6-0 W
Bryne (W)	0-1 L	6-2 W
Odd BK (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
TIL 2020 Women	2-2 D	3-2 W
IK Start (W)	1-3 L	3-0 W
Grei (W)	1-3 L	10-0 W
Viking FK (W)	0-6 L	2-2 D
Frigg (W)	3-2 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	8 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Arna-Bjørnar (W) (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kolbotn Women

WLLLDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-4	2	0	L
18/10	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
04/10	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
30/09	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
26/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	1-3	2	0	L
16/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-3	1	1	L
09/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-6	1	0	L
02/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-2	4	3	W

Arna-Bjørnar (W)

WWWWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	4-0	10-0	–	–	W
30/09	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	5-0	19	2	W
27/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
13/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-3	2-4	6	1	L
30/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	6-2	–	–	W
02/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	5-0	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolbotn Women vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Arna-Bjørnar (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Kolbotn Women 17%, draw 18%, Arna-Bjørnar (W) 65%.

How many goals are expected in Kolbotn Women vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Kolbotn Women 1.32 · Arna-Bjørnar (W) 2.62), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kolbotn Women vs Arna-Bjørnar (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.