Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Kolbotn Women

Team pages: Fyllingsdalen (W) · Kolbotn Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Fyllingsdalen (W)1.99

Kolbotn Women1.75

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Fyllingsdalen (W) Draw Kolbotn Women

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Fyllingsdalen (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLLW

Kolbotn Women 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDWLW

Head-to-head

Fyllingsdalen (W) 0–1–2 Kolbotn Women (3 last)

Kolbotn Women5-1Fyllingsdalen (W)
Fyllingsdalen (W)0-3Kolbotn Women
Kolbotn Women1-1Fyllingsdalen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fyllingsdalen (W) 1506 · Kolbotn Women 1493

	Fyllingsdalen (W)	Draw	Kolbotn Women
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kolbotn Women: 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fyllingsdalen (W)	Kolbotn Women
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.1	1.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:56 +17’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fyllingsdalen (W) 0–1–2 Kolbotn Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Kolbotn Women	5-1 HT 1-0	Fyllingsdalen (W)
09/09/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Fyllingsdalen (W)	0-3 HT 0-0	Kolbotn Women
21/05/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Kolbotn Women	1-1 HT 0-0	Fyllingsdalen (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	21	17	3	1	53	18	54
2	Viking FK (W)	21	14	4	3	60	21	46
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	21	14	3	4	67	21	45
4	Asane (W)	19	12	6	1	34	13	42
5	TIL 2020 Women	21	9	4	8	39	22	31
6	Odd BK (W)	21	6	6	9	27	32	24
7	Grei (W)	20	7	2	11	35	48	23
8	Bryne (W)	21	7	2	12	25	40	23
9	Kolbotn Women	19	6	3	10	28	36	21
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	20	7	0	13	29	49	21
11	Frigg (W)	20	3	1	16	12	52	10
12	Klepp (W)	20	3	0	17	20	77	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fyllingsdalen (W)	Kolbotn Women
Frigg (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Grei (W)	0-1 L	1-3 L
Viking FK (W)	0-6 L	0-6 L
Odd BK (W)	4-2 W	2-1 W
TIL 2020 Women	1-2 L	2-2 D
Bryne (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Klepp (W)	4-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fyllingsdalen (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fyllingsdalen (W)

WLLWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-1	11	2	W
27/09	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
19/09	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-6	0-6	2	1	L
13/09	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-1	4-2	2	1	W
04/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
23/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
09/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-2	4-5	8	1	L
02/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Kolbotn Women

LLWLLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
30/09	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
26/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	1-3	2	0	L
16/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-3	1	1	L
09/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-6	1	0	L
02/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
28/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
21/06	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Kolbotn Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fyllingsdalen (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Fyllingsdalen (W) 43%, draw 24%, Kolbotn Women 33%.

How many goals are expected in Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Kolbotn Women?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Fyllingsdalen (W) 1.99 · Kolbotn Women 1.75), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fyllingsdalen (W) vs Kolbotn Women?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.