Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 09/08, 13:00

Prediction: IK Start (W) vs Frigg (W)

Team pages: IK Start (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

IK Start (W)2.86

Frigg (W)0.86

1X2

81% 12% 7%

IK Start (W) Draw Frigg (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

IK Start (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

Frigg (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

IK Start (W) 1–0 Frigg (W) (1 last)

Frigg (W)1-3IK Start (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Start (W) 1595 · Frigg (W) 1389

	IK Start (W)	Draw	Frigg (W)
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	84%	10%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Start (W) (rating 1595 vs 1389).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Start (W)	Frigg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	0.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	0.8 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0.1	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.10

X9.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.75)1.90

2 (+2.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +28’	1.10	9.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Start (W) 1–0–0 Frigg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Frigg (W)	1-3 HT 0-3	IK Start (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	12	10	2	0	28	12	32
2	Asane (W)	12	9	3	0	23	7	30
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	13	8	2	3	37	13	26
4	Viking FK (W)	11	8	2	1	34	11	26
5	TIL 2020 Women	12	6	2	4	24	11	20
6	Odd BK (W)	12	4	4	4	16	17	16
7	Kolbotn (W)	12	4	2	6	20	20	14
8	Bryne (W)	13	4	2	7	12	24	14
9	Grei (W)	12	3	1	8	23	28	10
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	12	3	0	9	13	30	9
11	Klepp (W)	11	2	0	9	12	43	6
12	Frigg (W)	12	1	0	11	7	33	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Start (W)	Frigg (W)
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Klepp (W)	2-0 W	3-2 W
Viking FK (W)	0-3 L	0-3 L
Kolbotn (W)	2-1 W	2-3 L
Bryne (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Odd BK (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: IK Start (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IK Start (W)

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	3-1	5	2	W
28/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-1	8	1	W
14/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	4-2	10	1	W
31/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	2-0	8	0	W
20/05	Viking FK (W) Norway Cup Women	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
15/05	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
12/05	Bryne (W) Norway Cup Women	0-0	2-1	5	0	W
09/05	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	4-3	4	2	W
02/05	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frigg (W)

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
27/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
21/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	1	1	L
14/06	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-5	4	1	L
31/05	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
15/05	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-3	0	0	L
12/05	Lyn (W) Norway Cup Women	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
09/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-2	1	1	W
03/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Start (W) vs Frigg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Start (W) win (81%). Probabilities: IK Start (W) 81%, draw 12%, Frigg (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in IK Start (W) vs Frigg (W)?

The model expects 3.72 goals (IK Start (W) 2.86 · Frigg (W) 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Start (W) vs Frigg (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.