Football · Norway Division 1 · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: Stromsgodset vs Sandnes Ulf

Team pages: Stromsgodset · Sandnes Ulf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Stromsgodset2.28

Sandnes Ulf1.44

1X2

56% 21% 23%

Stromsgodset Draw Sandnes Ulf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Stromsgodset 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLWWWD

Sandnes Ulf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLLLWD

Head-to-head

Stromsgodset 1–1–0 Sandnes Ulf (2 last)

Sandnes Ulf1-1Stromsgodset
Sandnes Ulf0-4Stromsgodset

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1561 vs 1490).
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stromsgodset	Sandnes Ulf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 8.5	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.92

Under 3.751.87

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
X	5.76 → 5.76	Pinn 5.76
2	6.76 → 6.76	Pinn 6.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +321’	1.33	5.76	6.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stromsgodset 1–1–0 Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	1-1 HT 0-0	Stromsgodset
19/03/22 Norway Cup	Sandnes Ulf	0-4 HT 0-1	Stromsgodset

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kongsvinger	21	14	4	3	62	33	46
2	Haugesund	21	15	1	5	64	36	46
3	Stabaek	21	13	3	5	55	26	42
4	Stromsgodset	21	12	6	3	54	30	42
5	Hodd	21	10	4	7	37	38	34
6	Odd BK	21	9	6	6	41	33	33
7	Bryne	21	9	2	10	26	31	29
8	Egersund	21	8	4	9	34	38	28
9	Lyn 1896	21	7	4	10	36	44	25
10	Ranheim	21	7	3	11	50	55	24
11	Sandnes Ulf	21	7	3	11	30	36	24
12	Strommen	21	7	3	11	32	47	24
13	Moss	21	6	4	11	35	47	22
14	Sogndal	21	6	4	11	36	50	22
15	Asane	21	5	4	12	32	46	18
16	Raufoss	21	5	1	15	24	58	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stromsgodset	Sandnes Ulf
Sogndal	3-2 W	0-2 L
Hodd	3-1 W	3-4 L
Ranheim	3-1 W	1-1 D
Egersund	0-2 L	0-2 L
Bryne	2-0 W	0-1 L
Kongsvinger	4-4 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stromsgodset

DDLDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
26/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	13	3	W
09/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
01/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/07	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	3	D
04/07	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-3	3-4	9	7	L
27/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
21/06	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-1	4-4	6	2	D

Sandnes Ulf

WWDLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
22/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
09/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-0	3-4	6	2	L
02/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/07	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-6	6	2	L
04/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
27/06	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/06	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stromsgodset vs Sandnes Ulf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stromsgodset win (56%). Probabilities: Stromsgodset 56%, draw 21%, Sandnes Ulf 23%.

How many goals are expected in Stromsgodset vs Sandnes Ulf?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Stromsgodset 2.28 · Sandnes Ulf 1.44), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stromsgodset vs Sandnes Ulf?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.