Football · Norway Division 1 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stromsgodset vs Asane

Team pages: Stromsgodset · Asane

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.07Total
Stromsgodset3.03
Asane1.03
1X2
80% 12% 7%
Stromsgodset Draw Asane
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Stromsgodset 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LDWLWWWDWW
Asane 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLDDDL
Head-to-head
Stromsgodset 1–0 Asane (1 last)
  • Asane0-3Stromsgodset
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stromsgodset 1610 · Asane 1454
StromsgodsetDrawAsane
Our model77%14%9%
Market84%11%5%
Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1610 vs 1454).
  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StromsgodsetAsane
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.31.6 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.8 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 8.22.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.43.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stromsgodset 1–0–0 Asane

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Norway Division 1
Asane0-3
HT 0-0
Stromsgodset

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 231715 723952
2 Kongsvinger 231553 683550
3 Stromsgodset 231463 603148
4 Stabaek 231436 572945
5 Odd BK 231067 473636
6 Bryne 2311210 323135
7 Hodd 231049 384534
8 Egersund 238510 364429
9 Ranheim 238411 565828
10 Lyn 1896 238411 394828
11 Moss 237412 385225
12 Strommen 237412 355225
13 Sandnes Ulf 237313 324224
14 Sogndal 236512 385323
15 Asane 235513 345219
16 Raufoss 236116 266119

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStromsgodsetAsane
Raufoss 2-0 W 2-1 W
Odd BK 1-1 D 1-4 L
Hodd 3-1 W 2-2 D
Ranheim 3-1 W 2-2 D
Egersund 0-2 L 2-2 D
Bryne 2-0 W 0-4 L
Lyn 1896 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stromsgodset

LDWLWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 55 W
13/09 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
3-1 4-1 92 W
05/09 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-1 64 D
30/08 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-2 85 W
26/08 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 94 W
15/08 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-1 133 W
09/08 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 93 L
01/08 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-0 21 W
25/07 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-1 123 D
04/07 Hodd
Norway Division 1
2-3 3-4 97 L

Asane

LDLLWLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-3 0-4 14 L
13/09 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-2 83 D
05/09 Hodd
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-2 125 D
30/08 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 14 D
26/08 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 65 L
16/08 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-1 33 W
09/08 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-2 43 L
02/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-4 1-4 92 L
26/07 Egersund
Norway Division 1
2-0 3-3 23 D
02/07 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-5 2-6 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stromsgodset vs Asane?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stromsgodset win (80%). Probabilities: Stromsgodset 80%, draw 12%, Asane 7%.

How many goals are expected in Stromsgodset vs Asane?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Stromsgodset 3.03 · Asane 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stromsgodset vs Asane?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.