Football · Norway Division 1 · 14/10, 19:00

Prediction: Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger

Team pages: Stromsgodset · Kongsvinger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

Stromsgodset2.22

Kongsvinger1.92

1X2

45% 21% 34%

Stromsgodset Draw Kongsvinger

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Stromsgodset 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDWWW

Kongsvinger 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Stromsgodset 0–2–1 Kongsvinger (3 last)

Kongsvinger4-4Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger2-2Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset1-2Kongsvinger

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stromsgodset	Kongsvinger
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	3.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 8	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.4	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.74
X	4.35 → 4.35	Pinn 4.35
2	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +25’	1.74	4.35	3.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stromsgodset 0–2–1 Kongsvinger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	4-4 HT 1-2	Stromsgodset
18/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Kongsvinger	2-2 HT 1-2	Stromsgodset
27/10/16 Norway Cup	Stromsgodset	1-2 HT 0-0	Kongsvinger

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74	39	55
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70	35	53
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61	31	51
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57	31	45
5	Odd BK	24	11	6	7	50	38	39
6	Bryne	24	12	2	10	33	31	38
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40	48	34
8	Ranheim	24	9	4	11	61	58	31
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36	49	29
10	Lyn 1896	24	8	4	12	39	49	28
11	Strommen	24	7	5	12	38	55	26
12	Sandnes Ulf	24	7	4	13	35	45	25
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38	54	25
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38	53	23
15	Asane	24	5	5	14	34	53	19
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26	61	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stromsgodset	Kongsvinger
Asane	1-0 W	2-1 W
Raufoss	2-0 W	9-1 W
Sandnes Ulf	4-1 W	6-1 W
Odd BK	1-1 D	1-0 W
Hodd	3-1 W	5-1 W
Egersund	0-2 L	1-1 D
Lyn 1896	1-1 D	4-4 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kongsvinger (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stromsgodset

DWLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
20/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
13/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-1	4-1	9	2	W
05/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
26/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	13	3	W
09/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
01/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/07	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	3	D

Kongsvinger

WLWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
20/09	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-1	5-1	11	4	W
13/09	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	0	3	D
05/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	3-0	9-1	8	0	W
30/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	2-2	4-4	5	5	D
26/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
09/08	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
02/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	7	3	L
26/07	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-0	6-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stromsgodset win (45%). Probabilities: Stromsgodset 45%, draw 21%, Kongsvinger 34%.

How many goals are expected in Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

The model expects 4.14 goals (Stromsgodset 2.22 · Kongsvinger 1.92), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.