Football · Norway Division 1 · 14/10, 19:00
Prediction: Moss vs Egersund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Moss1.71
Egersund1.61
1X2
Moss
Draw
Egersund
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Moss
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Egersund
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moss
0–1–5
Egersund
(6 last)
- Egersund3-0Moss
- Egersund2-0Moss
- Moss2-4Egersund
- Egersund3-2Moss
- Moss1-2Egersund
- Egersund2-2Moss
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Egersund (rating 1467 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Egersund: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moss | Egersund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moss 0–1–5 Egersund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Moss |
| 22/10/25 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Moss |
| 28/06/25 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Egersund |
| 26/08/24 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Moss |
| 27/04/24 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Egersund |
| 08/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Egersund | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Moss |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 74 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 31 | 51 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 31 | 45 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 38 | 39 |
| 6 | Bryne | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 38 |
| 7 | Hodd | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 48 | 34 |
| 8 | Ranheim | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 58 | 31 |
| 9 | Egersund | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 49 | 29 |
| 10 | Lyn 1896 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 49 | 28 |
| 11 | Strommen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 55 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandnes Ulf | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | 25 |
| 13 | Moss | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 54 | 25 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 53 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 53 | 19 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 61 | 19 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moss | Egersund |
|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Sandnes Ulf | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Haugesund | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Stabaek | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Odd BK | 3-3 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/08 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
Egersund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/08 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moss vs Egersund?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moss win (40%). Probabilities: Moss 40%, draw 25%, Egersund 36%.
How many goals are expected in Moss vs Egersund?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Moss 1.71 · Egersund 1.61), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Moss vs Egersund?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.