Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 11/09, 19:00
Prediction: Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Team pages: Bodo/Glimt (W) · Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.37Total
Bodo/Glimt (W)1.18
Fortuna Aalesund (W)3.18
1X2
Bodo/Glimt (W)
Draw
Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Bodo/Glimt (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Fortuna Aalesund (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bodo/Glimt (W)
3–2
Fortuna Aalesund (W)
(5 last)
- Fortuna Aalesund (W)8-1Bodo/Glimt (W)
- Fortuna Aalesund (W)0-1Bodo/Glimt (W)
- Bodo/Glimt (W)1-0Fortuna Aalesund (W)
- Bodo/Glimt (W)1-0Fortuna Aalesund (W)
- Fortuna Aalesund (W)5-0Bodo/Glimt (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bodo/Glimt (W) 1376 · Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1592
| Bodo/Glimt (W) | Draw | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.37 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Aalesund (W) (rating 1376 vs 1592).
- H2H favours Bodo/Glimt (W): 3-0-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bodo/Glimt (W) | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 3.8 / 8.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bodo/Glimt (W) 3–0–2 Fortuna Aalesund (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Norway Toppserien Women | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 8-1 HT 5-1 | Bodo/Glimt (W) |
| 10/11/24 Norway Division 1 Women | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bodo/Glimt (W) |
| 20/10/24 Norway Division 1 Women | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) |
| 11/08/24 Norway Division 1 Women | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) |
| 08/06/24 Norway Division 1 Women | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Bodo/Glimt (W) |
Standings · Norway Toppserien Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Brann (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 4 | 38 |
| 2 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Rosenborg (W) | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Valerenga (W) | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Stabaek (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Lyn (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Molde FK (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | LSK Kvinner (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 15 |
| 9 | Haugesund (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 15 |
| 10 | Roa (W) | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 10 |
| 11 | Honefoss (W) | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bodo/Glimt (W) | Fortuna Aalesund (W) |
|---|---|---|
| LSK Kvinner (W) | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Molde FK (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Haugesund (W) | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortuna Aalesund (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bodo/Glimt (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-6 | 1-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-5 | 1-8 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-5 | 1-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Fortuna Aalesund (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
5-1 | 8-1 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fortuna Aalesund (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Bodo/Glimt (W) 7%, draw 11%, Fortuna Aalesund (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W)?
The model expects 4.37 goals (Bodo/Glimt (W) 1.18 · Fortuna Aalesund (W) 3.18), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.