Prediction: Roa (W) vs Valerenga (W)

Team pages: Roa (W) · Valerenga (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Roa (W)0.84
Valerenga (W)2.6
1X2
10% 16% 75%
Roa (W) Draw Valerenga (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Roa (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLDWDLL
Valerenga (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLLWW
Head-to-head
Roa (W) 0–6 Valerenga (W) (6 last)
  • Valerenga (W)4-0Roa (W)
  • Valerenga (W)1-0Roa (W)
  • Valerenga (W)3-0Roa (W)
  • Roa (W)0-1Valerenga (W)
  • Roa (W)0-2Valerenga (W)
  • Valerenga (W)5-0Roa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roa (W) 1435 · Valerenga (W) 1550
Roa (W)DrawValerenga (W)
Our model9%17%74%
Market10%15%75%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerenga (W) (rating 1435 vs 1550).
  • H2H favours Valerenga (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Roa (W)Valerenga (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 22.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.41.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 31.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 0.21.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Roa (W) 006 Valerenga (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/04/26
Norway Toppserien Women
Valerenga (W)4-0
HT 2-0
Roa (W)
15/11/25
Norway Toppserien Women
Valerenga (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Roa (W)
09/08/25
Norway Toppserien Women
Valerenga (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Roa (W)
29/03/25
Norway Toppserien Women
Roa (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Valerenga (W)
11/09/24
Norway Toppserien Women
Roa (W)0-2
HT 0-0
Valerenga (W)
29/06/24
Norway Toppserien Women
Valerenga (W)5-0
HT 3-0
Roa (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Brann (W) 141220 45438
2 Fortuna Aalesund (W) 151212 371437
3 Rosenborg (W) 14932 261630
4 Valerenga (W) 15915 392328
5 Stabaek (W) 14635 261421
6 Lyn (W) 14545 261719
7 Molde FK (W) 14536 222418
8 LSK Kvinner (W) 14437 192315
9 Haugesund (W) 14437 193615
10 Roa (W) 15249 153410
11 Honefoss (W) 142210 11298
12 Bodo/Glimt (W) 150312 9603

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoa (W)Valerenga (W)
Lyn (W) 1-3 L 0-2 L
SK Brann (W) 1-5 L 0-3 L
Molde FK (W) 1-1 D 1-2 L
Stabaek (W) 1-0 W 3-1 W
Honefoss (W) 1-1 D 2-1 W
Rosenborg (W) 0-1 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Valerenga (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roa (W)

LLDLLDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Lyn (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 1-3 53 L
21/08 SK Brann (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-1 1-5 01 L
15/08 Molde FK (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 1-1 40 D
20/06 Stabaek (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-0 1-0 11 W
13/06 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 1-1 03 D
30/05 Haugesund (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 1-2 21 L
26/05 Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 2-3 30 L
15/05 Lyn (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 0-0 55 D
08/05 Molde FK (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-4 31 L
02/05 Rosenborg (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-1 74 L

Valerenga (W)

WWWLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-0 2-1 101 W
14/08 Bodo/Glimt (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
2-0 4-1 60 W
20/06 Rosenborg (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-2 2-3 44 L
13/06 SK Brann (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-3 12 L
31/05 Lyn (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 0-2 12 L
26/05 Bodo/Glimt (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
5-0 7-1 63 W
15/05 Molde FK (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 1-2 53 L
08/05 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-0 3-0 90 W
02/05 LSK Kvinner (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
2-1 3-2 90 W
29/04 Stabaek (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 3-1 14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roa (W) vs Valerenga (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Valerenga (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Roa (W) 10%, draw 16%, Valerenga (W) 75%.

How many goals are expected in Roa (W) vs Valerenga (W)?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Roa (W) 0.84 · Valerenga (W) 2.6), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Roa (W) vs Valerenga (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.