Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Shamrock Rovers (W)2.99

Waterford FC (W)0.99

1X2

80% 13% 7%

Shamrock Rovers (W) Draw Waterford FC (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLWDW

Waterford FC (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers (W) 4–0 Waterford FC (W) (4 last)

Waterford FC (W)0-3Shamrock Rovers (W)
Waterford FC (W)1-8Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)7-1Waterford FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1547 · Waterford FC (W) 1408

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Draw	Waterford FC (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	82%	12%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (W) (rating 1547 vs 1408).
H2H favours Shamrock Rovers (W): 4-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Waterford FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	1.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +5’	1.13	7.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers (W) 4–0–0 Waterford FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
27/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	1-8 HT 1-2	Shamrock Rovers (W)
29/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	7-1 HT 2-1	Waterford FC (W)
28/06/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Waterford FC (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	12	9	2	1	27	9	29
2	Galway (W)	10	7	3	0	18	8	24
3	Shelbourne (W)	11	6	4	1	22	11	22
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	12	6	3	3	24	14	21
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	12	5	4	3	21	17	19
6	FC Treaty United (W)	12	5	3	4	13	8	18
7	Wexford FC (W)	11	3	5	3	18	14	14
8	Peamount Utd (W)	12	4	2	6	19	27	14
9	DLR Waves (W)	12	2	2	8	7	18	8
10	Bohemians Dublin (W)	11	1	4	6	10	20	7
11	Waterford FC (W)	12	1	4	7	8	24	7
12	Cork City (W)	11	1	2	8	8	25	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Waterford FC (W)
Galway (W)	3-3 D	1-1 D
Athlone Town (W)	1-3 L	2-4 L
Peamount Utd (W)	0-1 L	3-5 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-0 D	0-5 L
Sligo Rovers (W)	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shamrock Rovers (W)

WDWWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D
04/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	2-4	7	3	L
20/06	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
13/06	Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
23/05	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	13	1	W
16/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
09/05	Sligo Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	3-1	2	1	W

Waterford FC (W)

LWLDLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-4	3-5	0	1	L
11/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-3	4	1	L
27/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	13	1	D
20/06	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
30/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly	0-4	0-5	2	2	L
26/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
23/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
16/05	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	1-2	1	2	L
10/05	Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
02/05	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (W) 80%, draw 13%, Waterford FC (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Shamrock Rovers (W) 2.99 · Waterford FC (W) 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.