Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: FC Treaty United (W) vs Shelbourne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

FC Treaty United (W)0.86

Shelbourne (W)1.55

1X2

21% 26% 53%

FC Treaty United (W) Draw Shelbourne (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Treaty United (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWDWL

Shelbourne (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

FC Treaty United (W) 0–6 Shelbourne (W) (6 last)

Shelbourne (W)2-0FC Treaty United (W)
Shelbourne (W)2-0FC Treaty United (W)
Shelbourne (W)6-0FC Treaty United (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Treaty United (W) 1509 · Shelbourne (W) 1619

	FC Treaty United (W)	Draw	Shelbourne (W)
Our model	20%	28%	52%
Market	22%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1509 vs 1619).
H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Treaty United (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.6	2.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	3.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.75

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +5’	4.10	3.75	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Treaty United (W) 0–0–6 Shelbourne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Treaty United (W)
20/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Treaty United (W)
05/07/25 Women’s Friendly	Shelbourne (W)	6-0 HT 3-0	FC Treaty United (W)
03/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Shelbourne (W)
07/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	4-2 HT 3-0	FC Treaty United (W)
08/06/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Shelbourne (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	12	9	2	1	27	9	29
2	Galway (W)	10	7	3	0	18	8	24
3	Shelbourne (W)	11	6	4	1	22	11	22
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	12	6	3	3	24	14	21
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	12	5	4	3	21	17	19
6	FC Treaty United (W)	12	5	3	4	13	8	18
7	Wexford FC (W)	11	3	5	3	18	14	14
8	Peamount Utd (W)	12	4	2	6	19	27	14
9	DLR Waves (W)	12	2	2	8	7	18	8
10	Bohemians Dublin (W)	11	1	4	6	10	20	7
11	Waterford FC (W)	12	1	4	7	8	24	7
12	Cork City (W)	11	1	2	8	8	25	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Treaty United (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Peamount Utd (W)	2-0 W	4-2 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Athlone Town (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Bohemians Dublin (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Galway (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Treaty United (W)

WLWDLDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/06	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W
23/05	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
25/04	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
19/04	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
28/03	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Shelbourne (W)

WDWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Galway (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
11/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	5	1	W
08/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
20/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
13/06	Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
30/05	Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly	3-1	6-1	7	2	W
23/05	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	4-2	6	2	W
16/05	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
09/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	2-1	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Treaty United (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shelbourne (W) win (53%). Probabilities: FC Treaty United (W) 21%, draw 26%, Shelbourne (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in FC Treaty United (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model expects 2.41 goals (FC Treaty United (W) 0.86 · Shelbourne (W) 1.55), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Treaty United (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.