Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 03/10, 16:00
Prediction: Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Cork City (W)
Team pages: Shamrock Rovers (W) · Cork City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Shamrock Rovers (W)2.62
Cork City (W)0.62
1X2
Shamrock Rovers (W)
Draw
Cork City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shamrock Rovers (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Cork City (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shamrock Rovers (W)
4–1–1
Cork City (W)
(6 last)
- Cork City (W)0-2Shamrock Rovers (W)
- Cork City (W)1-2Shamrock Rovers (W)
- Shamrock Rovers (W)2-1Cork City (W)
- Shamrock Rovers (W)1-1Cork City (W)
- Cork City (W)2-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
- Cork City (W)0-4Shamrock Rovers (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1533 · Cork City (W) 1374
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | Draw | Cork City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (W) (rating 1533 vs 1374).
- H2H favours Shamrock Rovers (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | Cork City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 0.4 / 1.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers (W) 4–1–1 Cork City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
| 04/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
| 21/06/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 27/07/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 11/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
| 02/09/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 47 | 14 | 50 |
| 2 | Shelbourne (W) | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Galway (W) | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 30 |
| 6 | FC Treaty United (W) | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | Wexford FC (W) | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 27 |
| 8 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 20 |
| 9 | Peamount Utd (W) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Waterford FC (W) | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 15 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 14 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 45 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shamrock Rovers (W) | Cork City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne (W) | 4-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Galway (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Wexford FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Athlone Town (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| DLR Waves (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Waterford FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Treaty United (W) | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shamrock Rovers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
Cork City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Cork City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (W) 82%, draw 12%, Cork City (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Cork City (W)?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Shamrock Rovers (W) 2.62 · Cork City (W) 0.62), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Cork City (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.