Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 03/10, 17:30

Prediction: Athlone Town (W) vs Galway (W)

Team pages: Athlone Town (W) · Galway (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Athlone Town (W)1.78

Galway (W)0.88

1X2

58% 24% 18%

Athlone Town (W) Draw Galway (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Galway (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWDWLL

Head-to-head

Athlone Town (W) 1–2–3 Galway (W) (6 last)

Athlone Town (W)1-1Galway (W)
Galway (W)2-1Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)1-1Galway (W)
Galway (W)0-3Athlone Town (W)
Galway (W)3-2Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)0-2Galway (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athlone Town (W) 1593 · Galway (W) 1513

	Athlone Town (W)	Draw	Galway (W)
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1593 vs 1513).
H2H favours Galway (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town (W)	Galway (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +5’	1.53	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town (W) 1–2–3 Galway (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Athlone Town (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Galway (W)
23/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
19/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Galway (W)
03/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	Athlone Town (W)
12/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Athlone Town (W)
09/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Galway (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	19	16	2	1	47	14	50
2	Shelbourne (W)	19	11	5	3	36	19	38
3	Galway (W)	19	11	5	3	27	16	38
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	19	9	4	6	35	22	31
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	19	8	6	5	34	27	30
6	FC Treaty United (W)	19	8	5	6	24	17	29
7	Wexford FC (W)	19	7	6	6	32	24	27
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	19	5	5	9	19	28	20
9	Peamount Utd (W)	19	5	3	11	22	36	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	19	3	6	10	17	36	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	19	4	2	13	11	32	14
12	Cork City (W)	19	1	3	15	12	45	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town (W)	Galway (W)
DLR Waves (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
FC Treaty United (W)	4-1 W	0-0 D
Waterford FC (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Shamrock Rovers (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	3-2 W	1-1 D
Wexford FC (W)	3-0 W	0-3 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Cork City (W)	3-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	10	2	W
12/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	4-1	7	2	W
05/09	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
29/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
08/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Galway (W)

DWLDWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
12/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
05/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	3-2	15	3	W
15/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
04/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	3-3	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town (W) vs Galway (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Athlone Town (W) 58%, draw 24%, Galway (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Athlone Town (W) 1.78 · Galway (W) 0.88), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.