Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Waterford FC (W) vs Shelbourne (W)

Team pages: Waterford FC (W) · Shelbourne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

Waterford FC (W)0.83

Shelbourne (W)2.68

1X2

9% 15% 76%

Waterford FC (W) Draw Shelbourne (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Waterford FC (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLWLLW

Shelbourne (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Waterford FC (W) 0–3 Shelbourne (W) (3 last)

Shelbourne (W)3-0Waterford FC (W)
Shelbourne (W)2-1Waterford FC (W)
Waterford FC (W)0-4Shelbourne (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Waterford FC (W) 1458 · Shelbourne (W) 1583

	Waterford FC (W)	Draw	Shelbourne (W)
Our model	9%	16%	76%
Market	9%	15%	76%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1458 vs 1583).
H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Waterford FC (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.3	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

110.00

X6.00

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.90

2 (-2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:20 +11’	10.00	6.00	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC (W) 0–0–3 Shelbourne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	Waterford FC (W)
10/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Waterford FC (W)
15/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-0	Shelbourne (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	19	16	2	1	47	14	50
2	Shelbourne (W)	19	11	5	3	36	19	38
3	Galway (W)	19	11	5	3	27	16	38
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	19	9	4	6	35	22	31
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	19	8	6	5	34	27	30
6	FC Treaty United (W)	19	8	5	6	24	17	29
7	Wexford FC (W)	19	7	6	6	32	24	27
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	19	5	5	9	19	28	20
9	Peamount Utd (W)	19	5	3	11	22	36	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	19	3	6	10	17	36	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	19	4	2	13	11	32	14
12	Cork City (W)	19	1	3	15	12	45	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Waterford FC (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Cork City (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
DLR Waves (W)	1-2 L	3-1 W
Athlone Town (W)	1-3 L	1-1 D
Sligo Rovers (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-1 D	2-4 L
Peamount Utd (W)	3-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Waterford FC (W)

DLLDDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	6	0	L
05/09	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	2	0	L
29/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
15/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
25/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-4	3-5	0	1	L
11/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-3	4	1	L
27/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	13	1	D

Shelbourne (W)

DWDWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
12/09	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
05/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
18/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	19	0	W
25/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
11/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	5	1	W
08/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waterford FC (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shelbourne (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Waterford FC (W) 9%, draw 15%, Shelbourne (W) 76%.

How many goals are expected in Waterford FC (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Waterford FC (W) 0.83 · Shelbourne (W) 2.68), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Waterford FC (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.