Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: Sligo Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)

Team pages: Sligo Rovers (W) · FC Treaty United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Sligo Rovers (W)1.25

FC Treaty United (W)1.43

1X2

32% 27% 40%

Sligo Rovers (W) Draw FC Treaty United (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sligo Rovers (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLWWD

FC Treaty United (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLWDLW

Head-to-head

Sligo Rovers (W) 0–4–2 FC Treaty United (W) (6 last)

FC Treaty United (W)1-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)2-2FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)3-0Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)1-2FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)0-0Sligo Rovers (W)
FC Treaty United (W)3-3Sligo Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sligo Rovers (W) 1537 · FC Treaty United (W) 1509

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Draw	FC Treaty United (W)
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Treaty United (W): 2-4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sligo Rovers (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +4’	2.75	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers (W) 0–4–2 FC Treaty United (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Sligo Rovers (W)
06/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	2-2 HT 0-0	FC Treaty United (W)
12/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
18/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Treaty United (W)
13/04/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
03/06/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	3-3 HT 3-1	Sligo Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	19	16	2	1	47	14	50
2	Shelbourne (W)	19	11	5	3	36	19	38
3	Galway (W)	19	11	5	3	27	16	38
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	19	9	4	6	35	22	31
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	19	8	6	5	34	27	30
6	FC Treaty United (W)	19	8	5	6	24	17	29
7	Wexford FC (W)	19	7	6	6	32	24	27
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	19	5	5	9	19	28	20
9	Peamount Utd (W)	19	5	3	11	22	36	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	19	3	6	10	17	36	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	19	4	2	13	11	32	14
12	Cork City (W)	19	1	3	15	12	45	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sligo Rovers (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Wexford FC (W)	2-2 D	2-4 L
Shelbourne (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Cork City (W)	3-0 W	5-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	2-3 L	1-4 L
Galway (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sligo Rovers (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sligo Rovers (W)

DWWWDLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
12/09	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
05/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
29/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
15/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
08/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D

FC Treaty United (W)

DWLDWLWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
12/09	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
05/09	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
15/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	6	2	L
08/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	5-0	11	1	W
25/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Treaty United (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers (W) 32%, draw 27%, FC Treaty United (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Sligo Rovers (W) 1.25 · FC Treaty United (W) 1.43), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.