Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 17/10, 20:35

Prediction: Shelbourne (W) vs Athlone Town (W)

Team pages: Shelbourne (W) · Athlone Town (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Shelbourne (W)1.37

Athlone Town (W)1.36

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Shelbourne (W) Draw Athlone Town (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shelbourne (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWLLW

Athlone Town (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Shelbourne (W) 2–1–3 Athlone Town (W) (6 last)

Athlone Town (W)1-3Shelbourne (W)
Athlone Town (W)1-1Shelbourne (W)
Athlone Town (W)1-0Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)1-2Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)2-1Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)2-1Athlone Town (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shelbourne (W) 1594 · Athlone Town (W) 1601

	Shelbourne (W)	Draw	Athlone Town (W)
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	38%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shelbourne (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	2.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.2	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:37 +31’	3.00	3.60	2.00
15:02 +9’	2.40▼	3.50▼	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:19 +3’	2.33	3.29	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne (W) 2–1–3 Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Athlone Town (W)	1-3 HT 0-3	Shelbourne (W)
08/07/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Shelbourne (W)
08/03/26 Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women	Athlone Town (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Shelbourne (W)
27/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
23/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Shelbourne (W)
01/03/25 Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women	Shelbourne (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Athlone Town (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	20	16	3	1	47	14	51
2	Shelbourne (W)	20	12	5	3	40	19	41
3	Galway (W)	20	11	6	3	27	16	39
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	21	11	4	6	43	24	37
5	FC Treaty United (W)	21	9	6	6	28	19	33
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	21	8	7	6	36	32	31
7	Wexford FC (W)	20	8	6	6	34	25	30
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	21	6	5	10	22	31	23
9	Peamount Utd (W)	20	5	3	12	23	38	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	21	3	6	12	18	43	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	20	4	2	14	12	35	14
12	Cork City (W)	21	2	3	16	15	49	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shelbourne (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Waterford FC (W)	4-0 W	3-1 W
Shamrock Rovers (W)	2-4 L	2-1 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	0-1 L	3-2 W
DLR Waves (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Wexford FC (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Peamount Utd (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Cork City (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	9 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shelbourne (W)

WDWWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	4-0	4	3	W
19/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
12/09	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
05/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
18/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	19	0	W
25/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
11/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	5	1	W

Athlone Town (W)

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
19/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	10	2	W
12/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	4-1	7	2	W
05/09	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
29/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
08/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shelbourne (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Shelbourne (W) 37%, draw 27%, Athlone Town (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Shelbourne (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Shelbourne (W) 1.37 · Athlone Town (W) 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.