Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Athlone Town (W) vs Cork City (W)

Team pages: Athlone Town (W) · Cork City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Athlone Town (W)2.92

Cork City (W)0.92

1X2

84% 10% 6%

Athlone Town (W) Draw Cork City (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Cork City (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Athlone Town (W) 6–0 Cork City (W) (6 last)

Cork City (W)0-3Athlone Town (W)
Cork City (W)0-4Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)2-0Cork City (W)
Athlone Town (W)4-0Cork City (W)
Cork City (W)0-1Athlone Town (W)
Cork City (W)1-3Athlone Town (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athlone Town (W) 1597 · Cork City (W) 1391

	Athlone Town (W)	Draw	Cork City (W)
Our model	77%	14%	8%
Market	89%	7%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1597 vs 1391).
H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town (W)	Cork City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.1	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	0.6 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.03

X13.00

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.90

2 (+3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +55’	1.03	13.00	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town (W) 6–0–0 Cork City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Cork City (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
01/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Cork City (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
22/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Cork City (W)
07/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	4-0 HT 0-0	Cork City (W)
08/06/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Cork City (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Athlone Town (W)
21/10/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Cork City (W)	1-3	Athlone Town (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	21	16	4	1	48	15	52
2	Shelbourne (W)	21	12	6	3	41	20	42
3	Galway (W)	21	12	6	3	29	17	42
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	21	11	4	6	43	24	37
5	Wexford FC (W)	21	9	6	6	38	27	33
6	FC Treaty United (W)	21	9	6	6	28	19	33
7	Sligo Rovers (W)	21	8	7	6	36	32	31
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	21	6	5	10	22	31	23
9	Peamount Utd (W)	21	5	3	13	24	40	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	21	3	6	12	18	43	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	21	4	2	15	14	39	14
12	Cork City (W)	21	2	3	16	15	49	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town (W)	Cork City (W)
Shelbourne (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Galway (W)	0-0 D	2-3 L
DLR Waves (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
FC Treaty United (W)	4-1 W	0-5 L
Waterford FC (W)	3-1 W	1-2 L
Shamrock Rovers (W)	2-1 W	1-4 L
Peamount Utd (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Sligo Rovers (W)	3-2 W	0-3 L
Wexford FC (W)	3-0 W	1-3 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	8 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
03/10	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
19/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	10	2	W
12/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	4-1	7	2	W
05/09	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
29/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
08/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W

Cork City (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
03/10	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
19/09	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
12/09	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
05/09	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
29/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-1	2-3	0	3	L
15/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
08/08	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-4	0-5	0	1	L
05/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-3	1	0	L
25/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town (W) vs Cork City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Athlone Town (W) 84%, draw 10%, Cork City (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town (W) vs Cork City (W)?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Athlone Town (W) 2.92 · Cork City (W) 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town (W) vs Cork City (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.