Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: Wexford FC (W) vs Waterford FC (W)
Team pages: Wexford FC (W) · Waterford FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Wexford FC (W)2.68
Waterford FC (W)0.68
1X2
Wexford FC (W)
Draw
Waterford FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Wexford FC (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Waterford FC (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wexford FC (W)
2–1–0
Waterford FC (W)
(3 last)
- Waterford FC (W)0-0Wexford FC (W)
- Waterford FC (W)1-2Wexford FC (W)
- Wexford FC (W)2-0Waterford FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wexford FC (W) 1544 · Waterford FC (W) 1438
| Wexford FC (W) | Draw | Waterford FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 81% | 11% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wexford FC (W) (rating 1544 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Wexford FC (W): 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wexford FC (W) | Waterford FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wexford FC (W) 2–1–0 Waterford FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Waterford FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wexford FC (W) |
| 20/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Waterford FC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Wexford FC (W) |
| 03/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Wexford FC (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Waterford FC (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 | Shelbourne (W) | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Galway (W) | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 24 | 37 |
| 5 | Wexford FC (W) | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 6 | FC Treaty United (W) | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 33 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 31 |
| 8 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 23 |
| 9 | Peamount Utd (W) | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 40 | 18 |
| 10 | Waterford FC (W) | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 43 | 15 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 14 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 49 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wexford FC (W) | Waterford FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| DLR Waves (W) | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 2-1 W | 3-5 L |
| Galway (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Bohemians Dublin (W) | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Shelbourne (W) | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| FC Treaty United (W) | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Athlone Town (W) | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Cork City (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Wexford FC (W) (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wexford FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 03/10 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/08 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Waterford FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wexford FC (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wexford FC (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Wexford FC (W) 80%, draw 13%, Waterford FC (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Wexford FC (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Wexford FC (W) 2.68 · Waterford FC (W) 0.68), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wexford FC (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.