Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 24/10, 17:35

Prediction: Galway (W) vs Shelbourne (W)

Team pages: Galway (W) · Shelbourne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Galway (W)1.08

Shelbourne (W)1.29

1X2

31% 28% 41%

Galway (W) Draw Shelbourne (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Galway (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWLLDW

Shelbourne (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Galway (W) 1–1–4 Shelbourne (W) (6 last)

Shelbourne (W)2-0Galway (W)
Shelbourne (W)0-0Galway (W)
Galway (W)2-1Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)2-1Galway (W)
Galway (W)0-1Shelbourne (W)
Galway (W)1-3Shelbourne (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Galway (W) 1510 · Shelbourne (W) 1582

	Galway (W)	Draw	Shelbourne (W)
Our model	30%	30%	40%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1510 vs 1582).
H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Galway (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +16’	2.80	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway (W) 1–1–4 Shelbourne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Women’s Friendly	Shelbourne (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Galway (W)
16/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Galway (W)
06/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Shelbourne (W)
10/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Galway (W)
28/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Shelbourne (W)
03/08/24 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Galway (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Shelbourne (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	21	16	4	1	48	15	52
2	Shelbourne (W)	21	12	6	3	41	20	42
3	Galway (W)	21	12	6	3	29	17	42
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	21	11	4	6	43	24	37
5	Wexford FC (W)	21	9	6	6	38	27	33
6	FC Treaty United (W)	21	9	6	6	28	19	33
7	Sligo Rovers (W)	21	8	7	6	36	32	31
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	21	6	5	10	22	31	23
9	Peamount Utd (W)	21	5	3	13	24	40	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	21	3	6	12	18	43	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	21	4	2	15	14	39	14
12	Cork City (W)	21	2	3	16	15	49	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Galway (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Peamount Utd (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Wexford FC (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-0 W	2-4 L
FC Treaty United (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Cork City (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
Waterford FC (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Galway (W)

LDWWDWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
03/10	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
26/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
12/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
05/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	3-2	15	3	W
15/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
04/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Shelbourne (W)

DWWWWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	4-0	4	3	W
19/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
12/09	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
05/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
18/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	19	0	W
25/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Galway (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shelbourne (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Galway (W) 31%, draw 28%, Shelbourne (W) 41%.

How many goals are expected in Galway (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Galway (W) 1.08 · Shelbourne (W) 1.29), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Galway (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.