Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 11/07, 16:00
Prediction: Cork City (W) vs Athlone Town (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Cork City (W)0.68
Athlone Town (W)2.68
1X2
Cork City (W)
Draw
Athlone Town (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Cork City (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Athlone Town (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cork City (W)
0–6
Athlone Town (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cork City (W) 1438 · Athlone Town (W) 1604
| Cork City (W) | Draw | Athlone Town (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 5% | 12% | 83% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1438 vs 1604).
- H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cork City (W) | Athlone Town (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.5 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cork City (W) 0–0–6 Athlone Town (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 22/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Athlone Town (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 07/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Athlone Town (W) | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 08/06/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 21/10/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 1-3 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 22/04/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Athlone Town (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cork City (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Galway (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Shelbourne (W) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Treaty United (W) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Wexford FC (W) | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Waterford FC (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 7 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cork City (W) | Athlone Town (W) |
|---|---|---|
| DLR Waves (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Waterford FC (W) | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shelbourne (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Galway (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Wexford FC (W) | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Treaty United (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Bohemians Dublin (W) | 0-3 L | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cork City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
Athlone Town (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 4-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cork City (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Athlone Town (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Cork City (W) 6%, draw 13%, Athlone Town (W) 81%.
How many goals are expected in Cork City (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Cork City (W) 0.68 · Athlone Town (W) 2.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cork City (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.