Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 11/07, 17:00
Prediction: Shelbourne (W) vs Waterford FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Shelbourne (W)2.71
Waterford FC (W)0.71
1X2
Shelbourne (W)
Draw
Waterford FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Shelbourne (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Waterford FC (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shelbourne (W)
2–0
Waterford FC (W)
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shelbourne (W) 1608 · Waterford FC (W) 1444
| Shelbourne (W) | Draw | Waterford FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 87% | 8% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1608 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shelbourne (W) | Waterford FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne (W) 2–0–0 Waterford FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Waterford FC (W) |
| 15/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Waterford FC (W) | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Galway (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Shelbourne (W) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Treaty United (W) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Wexford FC (W) | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Waterford FC (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 7 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shelbourne (W) | Waterford FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town (W) | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Bohemians Dublin (W) | 4-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Glentoran (W) | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 4-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Galway (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Cork City (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | 2-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shelbourne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
Waterford FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shelbourne (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Shelbourne (W) 83%, draw 11%, Waterford FC (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Shelbourne (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Shelbourne (W) 2.71 · Waterford FC (W) 0.71), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shelbourne (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.