Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: Sligo Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)

Team pages: Sligo Rovers (W) · Waterford FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Sligo Rovers (W)2.25

Waterford FC (W)1.25

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Sligo Rovers (W) Draw Waterford FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sligo Rovers (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWWDL

Waterford FC (W) 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLLDDL

Head-to-head

Sligo Rovers (W) 2–1 Waterford FC (W) (3 last)

Waterford FC (W)1-2Sligo Rovers (W)
Waterford FC (W)0-2Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-2Waterford FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sligo Rovers (W) 1546 · Waterford FC (W) 1405

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Draw	Waterford FC (W)
Our model	59%	21%	19%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sligo Rovers (W) (rating 1546 vs 1405).
H2H favours Sligo Rovers (W): 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Waterford FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.5	0.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.2	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +4’	1.53	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers (W) 2–0–1 Waterford FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Sligo Rovers (W)
02/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Sligo Rovers (W)
22/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Waterford FC (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	15	12	2	1	35	11	38
2	Shelbourne (W)	16	10	5	1	31	13	35
3	Galway (W)	14	9	4	1	23	10	31
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	15	8	4	3	30	15	28
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	15	6	5	4	27	23	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	15	6	4	5	21	13	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	15	5	5	5	25	21	20
8	Peamount Utd (W)	15	4	2	9	19	34	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	15	2	5	8	16	27	11
10	DLR Waves (W)	15	3	2	10	8	22	11
11	Waterford FC (W)	15	1	6	8	11	29	9
12	Cork City (W)	15	1	2	12	9	37	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sligo Rovers (W)	Waterford FC (W)
Galway (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-2 W	2-2 D
Shelbourne (W)	2-2 D	0-3 L
Cork City (W)	4-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sligo Rovers (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sligo Rovers (W)

WWWDDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
08/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/06	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
23/05	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
16/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
02/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	5-1	2	1	W

Waterford FC (W)

LDLDDLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
25/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-4	3-5	0	1	L
11/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-3	4	1	L
27/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	13	1	D
20/06	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
26/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
23/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
16/05	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	1-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sligo Rovers (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers (W) 59%, draw 22%, Waterford FC (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Sligo Rovers (W) 2.25 · Waterford FC (W) 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.