Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)

Team pages: Shamrock Rovers (W) · Sligo Rovers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Shamrock Rovers (W)2.03

Sligo Rovers (W)1.29

1X2

54% 24% 23%

Shamrock Rovers (W) Draw Sligo Rovers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLLLWW

Sligo Rovers (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWWDD

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers (W) 4–2–0 Sligo Rovers (W) (6 last)

Shamrock Rovers (W)3-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-5Shamrock Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)1-4Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)0-0Sligo Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)1-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)1-4Shamrock Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1553 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1512

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Draw	Sligo Rovers (W)
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (W) (rating 1553 vs 1512).
H2H favours Shamrock Rovers (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Sligo Rovers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.75

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.77
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.14 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +3’	1.67	3.75	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +4’	1.61	3.77	4.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers (W) 4–2–0 Sligo Rovers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Women’s Friendly	Shamrock Rovers (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Sligo Rovers (W)
28/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	Shamrock Rovers (W)
23/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-4 HT 1-4	Shamrock Rovers (W)
10/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
14/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
15/06/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	20	16	3	1	47	14	51
2	Shelbourne (W)	20	12	5	3	40	19	41
3	Galway (W)	20	11	6	3	27	16	39
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	20	10	4	6	39	23	34
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	20	8	7	5	35	28	31
6	Wexford FC (W)	20	8	6	6	34	25	30
7	FC Treaty United (W)	20	8	6	6	25	18	30
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	20	6	5	9	22	29	23
9	Peamount Utd (W)	20	5	3	12	23	38	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	20	3	6	11	17	40	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	20	4	2	14	12	35	14
12	Cork City (W)	20	1	3	16	13	49	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Sligo Rovers (W)
Cork City (W)	4-1 W	3-0 W
Shelbourne (W)	4-2 W	1-0 W
Galway (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wexford FC (W)	0-2 L	2-2 D
Athlone Town (W)	1-2 L	2-3 L
DLR Waves (W)	2-0 W	3-1 W
Waterford FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Treaty United (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shamrock Rovers (W)

DWDWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	4-1	3	1	W
19/09	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-1	4-2	2	5	W
12/09	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
05/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-2	8	0	L
29/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
15/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
08/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
25/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D

Sligo Rovers (W)

WWWDLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
19/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
12/09	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
05/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
29/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
15/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
08/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (W) 54%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Shamrock Rovers (W) 2.03 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.