Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Athlone Town (W)

Team pages: Shamrock Rovers (W) · Athlone Town (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Shamrock Rovers (W)1.07

Athlone Town (W)1.68

1X2

24% 26% 51%

Shamrock Rovers (W) Draw Athlone Town (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDWDWW

Athlone Town (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers (W) 0–3–3 Athlone Town (W) (6 last)

Athlone Town (W)3-3Shamrock Rovers (W)
Athlone Town (W)3-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)0-2Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)2-0Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)1-1Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)3-3Shamrock Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1528 · Athlone Town (W) 1611

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Draw	Athlone Town (W)
Our model	23%	27%	50%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1528 vs 1611).
H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	2.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.1	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +5’	3.75	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers (W) 0–3–3 Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Athlone Town (W)	3-3 HT 1-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)
20/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
14/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
06/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)
15/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Athlone Town (W)
28/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	3-3 HT 0-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	14	11	2	1	33	11	35
2	Shelbourne (W)	16	10	5	1	31	13	35
3	Galway (W)	14	9	4	1	23	10	31
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	15	8	4	3	30	15	28
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	15	6	5	4	27	23	23
6	FC Treaty United (W)	15	6	4	5	21	13	22
7	Wexford FC (W)	15	5	5	5	25	21	20
8	Peamount Utd (W)	14	4	2	8	19	32	14
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	15	2	5	8	16	27	11
10	DLR Waves (W)	15	3	2	10	8	22	11
11	Waterford FC (W)	15	1	6	8	11	29	9
12	Cork City (W)	15	1	2	12	9	37	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Peamount Utd (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Waterford FC (W)	1-1 D	4-2 W
FC Treaty United (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Galway (W)	3-3 D	1-2 L
Wexford FC (W)	2-4 L	3-0 W
Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shamrock Rovers (W)

DWWLLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
08/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
25/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D
27/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	2-4	7	3	L
20/06	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
26/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
23/05	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	13	1	W
16/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Athlone Town (W)

WWLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
08/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
16/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	4-2	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Athlone Town (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (W) 24%, draw 26%, Athlone Town (W) 51%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Shamrock Rovers (W) 1.07 · Athlone Town (W) 1.68), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.