Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Waterford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)

Team pages: Waterford FC (W) · FC Treaty United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Waterford FC (W)0.94

FC Treaty United (W)2.13

1X2

15% 21% 64%

Waterford FC (W) Draw FC Treaty United (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Waterford FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWLLWL

FC Treaty United (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWDLWD

Head-to-head

Waterford FC (W) 1–1–2 FC Treaty United (W) (4 last)

FC Treaty United (W)3-0Waterford FC (W)
Waterford FC (W)3-2FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)0-0Waterford FC (W)
FC Treaty United (W)2-0Waterford FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Waterford FC (W) 1435 · FC Treaty United (W) 1521

	Waterford FC (W)	Draw	FC Treaty United (W)
Our model	15%	22%	64%
Market	15%	21%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Treaty United (W) (rating 1435 vs 1521).
H2H favours FC Treaty United (W): 2-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Waterford FC (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.00

X4.33

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +4’	6.00	4.33	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +4’	5.67	4.23	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC (W) 1–1–2 FC Treaty United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Waterford FC (W)
11/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Waterford FC (W)	3-2 HT 0-1	FC Treaty United (W)
26/04/25 Women’s Friendly	FC Treaty United (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Waterford FC (W)
08/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Waterford FC (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	20	16	3	1	47	14	51
2	Shelbourne (W)	20	12	5	3	40	19	41
3	Galway (W)	20	11	6	3	27	16	39
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	20	10	4	6	39	23	34
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	20	8	7	5	35	28	31
6	Wexford FC (W)	20	8	6	6	34	25	30
7	FC Treaty United (W)	20	8	6	6	25	18	30
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	20	6	5	9	22	29	23
9	Peamount Utd (W)	20	5	3	12	23	38	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	20	3	6	11	17	40	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	20	4	2	14	12	35	14
12	Cork City (W)	20	1	3	16	13	49	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Waterford FC (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Shelbourne (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
Cork City (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	1-3 L	1-4 L
Sligo Rovers (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Galway (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Peamount Utd (W)	3-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Waterford FC (W)

LLDDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-4	0	3	L
19/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	6	0	L
05/09	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	2	0	L
29/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
15/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
25/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-4	3-5	0	1	L
11/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-3	4	1	L

FC Treaty United (W)

WLDWLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
19/09	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
12/09	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
05/09	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
15/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	6	2	L
08/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	5-0	11	1	W
25/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waterford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Treaty United (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Waterford FC (W) 15%, draw 21%, FC Treaty United (W) 64%.

How many goals are expected in Waterford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Waterford FC (W) 0.94 · FC Treaty United (W) 2.13), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Waterford FC (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.