Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Peamount Utd (W) vs Galway (W)

Team pages: Peamount Utd (W) · Galway (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Peamount Utd (W)0.87

Galway (W)1.39

1X2

23% 28% 49%

Peamount Utd (W) Draw Galway (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Peamount Utd (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLDLL

Galway (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWLLD

Head-to-head

Peamount Utd (W) 0–3–3 Galway (W) (6 last)

Galway (W)1-1Peamount Utd (W)
Galway (W)2-1Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)1-2Galway (W)
Galway (W)1-1Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)1-1Galway (W)
Galway (W)3-1Peamount Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peamount Utd (W) 1437 · Galway (W) 1516

	Peamount Utd (W)	Draw	Galway (W)
Our model	22%	30%	48%
Market	24%	26%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Galway (W) (rating 1437 vs 1516).
H2H favours Galway (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peamount Utd (W)	Galway (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.40

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.17 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +19’	3.70	3.40	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +7’	3.91	3.26	1.77
14:10 +41’	4.17▲	3.19▼	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peamount Utd (W) 0–3–3 Galway (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Women’s Friendly	Galway (W)	1-1	Peamount Utd (W)
02/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Peamount Utd (W)
13/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Galway (W)
02/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Peamount Utd (W)
24/05/25 Women’s Friendly	Peamount Utd (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Galway (W)
24/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Peamount Utd (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	20	16	3	1	47	14	51
2	Shelbourne (W)	20	12	5	3	40	19	41
3	Galway (W)	20	11	6	3	27	16	39
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	20	10	4	6	39	23	34
5	Sligo Rovers (W)	20	8	7	5	35	28	31
6	Wexford FC (W)	20	8	6	6	34	25	30
7	FC Treaty United (W)	20	8	6	6	25	18	30
8	Bohemians Dublin (W)	20	6	5	9	22	29	23
9	Peamount Utd (W)	20	5	3	12	23	38	18
10	Waterford FC (W)	20	3	6	11	17	40	15
11	DLR Waves (W)	20	4	2	14	12	35	14
12	Cork City (W)	20	1	3	16	13	49	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peamount Utd (W)	Galway (W)
Wexford FC (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
FC Treaty United (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Cork City (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
DLR Waves (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Waterford FC (W)	5-3 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Galway (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peamount Utd (W)

LWLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
19/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
12/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
05/09	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
29/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
15/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
08/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
18/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-1	5-3	4	1	W
11/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L

Galway (W)

WLDWWDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
26/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
12/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
05/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	3-2	15	3	W
15/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
04/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peamount Utd (W) vs Galway (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Galway (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Peamount Utd (W) 23%, draw 28%, Galway (W) 49%.

How many goals are expected in Peamount Utd (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Peamount Utd (W) 0.87 · Galway (W) 1.39), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Peamount Utd (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.