Prediction: Bray Wanderers vs UCD
Expected goals: 3.6 (Bray Wanderers 2.21 · UCD 1.38). The model gives 56% home, 22% draw, 23% away. Over 3 goals (56%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Bray Wanderers with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; UCD has piled up 6-0-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Bray Wanderers won 4 and UCD 2.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1582 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bray Wanderers | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bray Wanderers 4–0–2 UCD
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 3-4 HT 1-4 | Bray Wanderers |
| 13/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | UCD |
| 28/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 3-2 HT 1-1 | UCD |
| 24/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bray Wanderers |
| 29/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Bray Wanderers |
| 23/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 1-3 HT 0-2 | UCD |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 54 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 34 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 37 | 22 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bray Wanderers | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cork City | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Longford Town | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Treaty United FC | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kerry FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/06 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 29/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
4-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 08/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
UCD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bray Wanderers vs UCD?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bray Wanderers win (56%). Probabilities: Bray Wanderers 56%, draw 22%, UCD 23%.
How many goals are expected in Bray Wanderers vs UCD?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Bray Wanderers 2.21 · UCD 1.38), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bray Wanderers vs UCD?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.