Prediction: Finn Harps vs Treaty United FC
Expected goals: 2.6 (Finn Harps 1.48 · Treaty United FC 1.11). The model gives 45% home, 28% draw, 27% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Finn Harps sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Treaty United FC arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Finn Harps won 2 and Treaty United FC 3, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- H2H favours Treaty United FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Finn Harps | Treaty United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Finn Harps 2–1–3 Treaty United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Finn Harps |
| 13/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Treaty United FC |
| 29/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 27/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
| 02/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Treaty United FC |
| 28/02/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 54 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 34 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 37 | 22 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Finn Harps | Treaty United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wexford FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Athlone Town | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Cork City | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Longford Town | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Kerry FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Finn Harps (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 26/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 19/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 01/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Harps vs Treaty United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Finn Harps win (45%). Probabilities: Finn Harps 45%, draw 28%, Treaty United FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Finn Harps vs Treaty United FC?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Finn Harps 1.48 · Treaty United FC 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Finn Harps vs Treaty United FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.