Prediction: Cork City vs Longford Town
Expected goals: 2.97 (Cork City 2.07 · Longford Town 0.91). The model gives 63% home, 22% draw, 15% away. Over 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Cork City sits at 9-1-0 (W-D-L), while Longford Town arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cork City won 6 and Longford Town 0.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1608 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Cork City: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cork City | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cork City 6–0–0 Longford Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 13/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Longford Town |
| 30/08/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Longford Town |
| 07/06/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Longford Town |
| 20/04/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Cork City |
| 09/03/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 54 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 34 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 37 | 22 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cork City | Longford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Treaty United FC | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Wexford FC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Finn Harps | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Athlone Town | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| UCD | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cork City (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cork City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland Munster Senior Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Longford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cork City vs Longford Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cork City win (63%). Probabilities: Cork City 63%, draw 22%, Longford Town 15%.
How many goals are expected in Cork City vs Longford Town?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Cork City 2.07 · Longford Town 0.91), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cork City vs Longford Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

