Prediction: Wexford FC vs Kerry FC

Expected goals: 2.14 (Wexford FC 1.1 · Kerry FC 1.04). The model gives 36% home, 32% draw, 32% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Wexford FC is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kerry FC 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Wexford FC and 2 for Kerry FC, with 2 draws.

36%1
36% 32% 32%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.14Wexford FC 1.1 · Kerry FC 1.04
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerry FC (rating 1457 vs 1502).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wexford FCKerry FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.51 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.51.6 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.34 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wexford FC 222 Kerry FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Republic of Ireland First Division
Kerry FC2-1
HT 1-1
Wexford FC
13/03/26
Republic of Ireland First Division
Wexford FC1-1
HT 0-0
Kerry FC
10/10/25
Republic of Ireland First Division
Kerry FC0-2
HT 0-0
Wexford FC
27/06/25
Republic of Ireland First Division
Wexford FC4-3
HT 1-3
Kerry FC
16/05/25
Republic of Ireland First Division
Kerry FC1-1
HT 1-0
Wexford FC
21/03/25
Republic of Ireland First Division
Wexford FC1-2
HT 0-2
Kerry FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cork City 221732 431154
2 UCD 211137 351936
3 Bray Wanderers 22976 403034
4 Cobh Ramblers 22949 253031
5 Wexford FC 22769 253027
6 Kerry FC 22679 222725
7 Longford Town 21678 212625
8 Athlone Town 226610 192724
9 Finn Harps 225710 203722
10 Treaty United FC 224810 213420

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWexford FCKerry FC
Finn Harps 0-1 L 0-1 L
Treaty United FC 0-0 D 1-2 L
Athlone Town 2-2 D 1-0 W
Cork City 0-2 L 1-0 W
Bray Wanderers 0-4 L 2-2 D
UCD 2-1 W 1-0 W
Longford Town 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wexford FC

WLLLWLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Finn Harps
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-1 69 L
26/06 Treaty United FC
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-0 25 D
19/06 Athlone Town
Republic of Ireland First Division
1-1 2-2 36 D
12/06 Cork City
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-2 87 L
29/05 Bray Wanderers
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-4 76 L
22/05 UCD
Republic of Ireland First Division
2-0 2-1 46 W
15/05 Kerry FC
Republic of Ireland First Division
1-1 1-2 26 L
08/05 Longford Town
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-1 1-2 57 L
04/05 Treaty United FC
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-1 37 L
01/05 Finn Harps
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 2-0 53 W

Kerry FC

DWLWDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Treaty United FC
Republic of Ireland First Division
1-0 1-2 27 L
26/06 Longford Town
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 2-1 40 W
19/06 UCD
Republic of Ireland First Division
1-0 1-0 52 W
12/06 Athlone Town
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 1-0 44 W
29/05 Cobh Ramblers
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-2 0-2 36 L
22/05 Bray Wanderers
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-1 2-2 16 D
15/05 Wexford FC
Republic of Ireland First Division
1-1 2-1 36 W
08/05 Finn Harps
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-1 23 L
04/05 Cork City
Republic of Ireland First Division
1-0 1-0 55 W
01/05 Athlone Town
Republic of Ireland First Division
0-0 0-0 14 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wexford FC vs Kerry FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wexford FC win (36%). Probabilities: Wexford FC 36%, draw 32%, Kerry FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Wexford FC vs Kerry FC?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Wexford FC 1.1 · Kerry FC 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wexford FC vs Kerry FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.