Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 24/07, 20:45
Prediction: Kerry FC vs Finn Harps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Kerry FC1.62
Finn Harps0.8
1X2
Kerry FC
Draw
Finn Harps
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Kerry FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Finn Harps
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kerry FC
2–1–3
Finn Harps
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerry FC (rating 1509 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Finn Harps: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kerry FC | Finn Harps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kerry FC 2–1–3 Finn Harps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kerry FC |
| 20/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
| 13/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 08/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
| 18/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Kerry FC |
| 14/02/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 15 | 54 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 37 |
| 3 | UCD | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 36 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Wexford FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 28 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 27 |
| 8 | Kerry FC | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 26 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 34 | 23 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 38 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kerry FC | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Wexford FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Treaty United FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Longford Town | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| UCD | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Athlone Town | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cobh Ramblers | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kerry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 10/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 26/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 19/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kerry FC vs Finn Harps?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kerry FC win (56%). Probabilities: Kerry FC 56%, draw 27%, Finn Harps 17%.
How many goals are expected in Kerry FC vs Finn Harps?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Kerry FC 1.62 · Finn Harps 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kerry FC vs Finn Harps?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.