Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 03/08, 18:00
Prediction: Longford Town vs Finn Harps
Team pages: Longford Town · Finn Harps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Longford Town2.03
Finn Harps0.99
1X2
Longford Town
Draw
Finn Harps
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Longford Town
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Finn Harps
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Longford Town
0–5–1
Finn Harps
(6 last)
- Finn Harps2-2Longford Town
- Longford Town0-1Finn Harps
- Longford Town1-1Finn Harps
- Finn Harps0-0Longford Town
- Longford Town0-0Finn Harps
- Finn Harps1-1Longford Town
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Longford Town (rating 1529 vs 1429).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Longford Town | Finn Harps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.1 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 0–5–1 Finn Harps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Longford Town |
| 28/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Finn Harps |
| 05/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
| 04/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Longford Town |
| 17/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
| 04/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Longford Town |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 3 | UCD | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 29 | 40 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 34 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 32 |
| 7 | Wexford FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 31 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 28 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 26 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Longford Town | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Treaty United FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Wexford FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cork City | 4-3 W | 0-3 L |
| UCD | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Kerry FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Longford Town (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Longford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Baldoyle United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
3-0 | 8-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 26/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 19/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Finn Harps?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Longford Town win (60%). Probabilities: Longford Town 60%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 17%.
How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Finn Harps?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Longford Town 2.03 · Finn Harps 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Finn Harps?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.