Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 03/08, 18:00
Prediction: UCD vs Treaty United FC
Team pages: UCD · Treaty United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
UCD1.88
Treaty United FC0.94
1X2
UCD
Draw
Treaty United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UCD
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Treaty United FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UCD
3–1–2
Treaty United FC
(6 last)
- Treaty United FC1-2UCD
- Treaty United FC0-3UCD
- UCD2-0Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC1-0UCD
- UCD1-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC4-0UCD
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCD (rating 1537 vs 1451).
- H2H favours UCD: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UCD | Treaty United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UCD 3–1–2 Treaty United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Treaty United FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | UCD |
| 24/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | UCD |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 05/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 04/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 16/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | UCD |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 3 | UCD | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 29 | 40 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 34 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 32 |
| 7 | Wexford FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 31 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 28 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 26 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UCD | Treaty United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Cork City | 5-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Bray Wanderers | 0-6 L | 2-2 D |
| Longford Town | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Kerry FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Finn Harps | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Treaty United FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UCD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UCD vs Treaty United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UCD win (58%). Probabilities: UCD 58%, draw 24%, Treaty United FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in UCD vs Treaty United FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (UCD 1.88 · Treaty United FC 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UCD vs Treaty United FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.