Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 31/07, 20:45

Prediction: Athlone Town vs UCD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Athlone Town1.29

UCD1.53

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Athlone Town Draw UCD

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDLWWL

UCD 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Athlone Town 1–1–4 UCD (6 last)

UCD1-0Athlone Town
Athlone Town0-2UCD
UCD2-2Athlone Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCD (rating 1441 vs 1532).
H2H favours UCD: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town	UCD
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.3	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.82 → 2.82	Pinn 2.82
X	3.42 → 3.42	Pinn 3.42
2	2.39 → 2.39	Pinn 2.39

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35	2.82	3.42	2.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town 1–1–4 UCD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	1-0 HT 1-0	Athlone Town
03/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	0-2 HT 0-2	UCD
10/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	2-2 HT 0-2	Athlone Town
04/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	1-2 HT 1-1	UCD
30/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	2-0 HT 0-0	Athlone Town
14/03/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	2-1 HT 1-0	UCD

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	24	17	3	4	48	20	54
2	Bray Wanderers	24	11	7	6	48	31	40
3	UCD	24	12	3	9	41	29	39
4	Longford Town	23	8	7	8	27	30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	24	9	4	11	26	34	31
6	Kerry FC	24	7	8	9	26	30	29
7	Wexford FC	23	7	7	9	27	32	28
8	Athlone Town	24	7	6	11	22	29	27
9	Treaty United FC	24	6	8	10	24	35	26
10	Finn Harps	24	5	7	12	21	40	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town	UCD
Treaty United FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Cobh Ramblers	2-0 W	2-0 W
Bray Wanderers	0-1 L	0-6 L
Finn Harps	1-1 D	5-0 W
Wexford FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Kerry FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Cork City	0-3 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UCD (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Athlone Town

LLLLDDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
17/07	Midleton FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
10/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
03/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
26/06	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-1	6	12	D
19/06	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
12/06	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
29/05	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
22/05	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-3	7	6	L
15/05	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

UCD

LLWWLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	5-2	6	5	W
17/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-6	4	3	L
04/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
26/06	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
19/06	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
12/06	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
29/05	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
22/05	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
15/05	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-4	3-4	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town vs UCD?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UCD win (42%). Probabilities: Athlone Town 31%, draw 27%, UCD 42%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town vs UCD?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Athlone Town 1.29 · UCD 1.53), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town vs UCD?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.