Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 25/07, 20:30

Prediction: Longford Town vs Wexford FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Longford Town2.27

Wexford FC1.07

1X2

63% 21% 16%

Longford Town Draw Wexford FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Longford Town 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Wexford FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Longford Town 4–1–1 Wexford FC (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Longford Town (rating 1555 vs 1431).
H2H favours Longford Town: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Longford Town	Wexford FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	5.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.54 → 2.54	Pinn 2.54
X	3.46 → 3.46	Pinn 3.46
2	2.61 → 2.61	Pinn 2.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18	2.54	3.46	2.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 4–1–1 Wexford FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Longford Town
21/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-0 HT 1-0	Wexford FC
30/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-2 HT 2-0	Wexford FC
20/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Longford Town
03/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-1 HT 0-0	Wexford FC
08/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Longford Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46	15	54
2	Bray Wanderers	23	10	7	6	46	30	37
3	UCD	23	11	3	9	36	27	36
4	Longford Town	23	8	7	8	27	30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25	32	31
6	Wexford FC	23	7	7	9	27	32	28
7	Athlone Town	23	7	6	10	21	27	27
8	Kerry FC	23	6	8	9	24	29	26
9	Treaty United FC	23	5	8	10	22	34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20	38	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Longford Town	Wexford FC
Cork City	4-3 W	0-2 L
UCD	2-1 W	2-1 W
Kerry FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Bray Wanderers	2-5 L	0-4 L
Treaty United FC	3-1 W	0-0 D
Finn Harps	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Longford Town (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Longford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Baldoyle United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	3-0	8-0	9	0	W
10/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	4-3	8	4	W
04/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-1	1	6	W
26/06	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
19/06	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-5	3	6	L
13/06	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
29/05	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
22/05	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-2	5	4	D
16/05	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
08/05	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-1	3	7	W

Wexford FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-1	1-2	0	3	L
10/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
03/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
26/06	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
19/06	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
12/06	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	8	7	L
29/05	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-4	7	6	L
22/05	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-1	4	6	W
15/05	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
08/05	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Wexford FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Longford Town win (63%). Probabilities: Longford Town 63%, draw 21%, Wexford FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Wexford FC?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Longford Town 2.27 · Wexford FC 1.07), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Wexford FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.