Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 21/08, 20:45

Prediction: Kerry FC vs UCD

Team pages: Kerry FC · UCD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Kerry FC1.7

UCD1.35

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Kerry FC Draw UCD

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kerry FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWWWLL

UCD 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDLWL

Head-to-head

Kerry FC 2–1–3 UCD (6 last)

UCD0-1Kerry FC
Kerry FC1-1UCD
UCD2-1Kerry FC
UCD2-1Kerry FC
Kerry FC0-3UCD
UCD0-1Kerry FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UCD: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kerry FC	UCD
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.87 → 3.03▲	Pinn 3.03
X	3.37 → 3.41▲	Pinn 3.41
2	2.38 → 2.26▼	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12	2.87	3.37	2.38
12:10 +10’	3.03▲	3.41▲	2.26▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kerry FC 2–1–3 UCD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	0-1 HT 0-1	Kerry FC
10/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	1-1 HT 0-0	UCD
13/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	2-1 HT 0-1	Kerry FC
19/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	2-1 HT 1-0	Kerry FC
25/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	0-3 HT 0-2	UCD
02/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	0-1 HT 0-0	Kerry FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	27	20	3	4	57	23	63
2	Bray Wanderers	27	12	7	8	54	37	43
3	UCD	27	13	4	10	46	32	43
4	Longford Town	27	10	7	10	35	34	37
5	Cobh Ramblers	27	11	4	12	29	37	37
6	Kerry FC	27	9	8	10	34	33	35
7	Wexford FC	27	9	7	11	32	39	34
8	Athlone Town	27	8	7	12	26	33	31
9	Treaty United FC	27	7	8	12	26	39	29
10	Finn Harps	27	5	7	15	21	53	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kerry FC	UCD
Cork City	1-3 L	5-2 W
Cobh Ramblers	3-0 W	2-0 W
Bray Wanderers	4-0 W	0-6 L
Wexford FC	2-2 D	4-1 W
Treaty United FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Longford Town	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kerry FC

WWLDDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
07/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
03/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-0	3-0	4	8	W
31/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
24/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
17/07	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	2-2	2	9	D
10/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
03/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
26/06	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-1	4	0	W
19/06	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

UCD

LWLLWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
07/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	4-1	7	1	W
03/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
31/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
24/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	5-2	6	5	W
17/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-6	4	3	L
04/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
26/06	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
19/06	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kerry FC vs UCD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kerry FC win (45%). Probabilities: Kerry FC 45%, draw 26%, UCD 29%.

How many goals are expected in Kerry FC vs UCD?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Kerry FC 1.7 · UCD 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kerry FC vs UCD?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.