Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 28/08, 20:45
Prediction: Kerry FC vs Treaty United FC
Team pages: Kerry FC · Treaty United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Kerry FC1.61
Treaty United FC1.17
1X2
Kerry FC
Draw
Treaty United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kerry FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Treaty United FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kerry FC
0–4–2
Treaty United FC
(6 last)
- Treaty United FC2-1Kerry FC
- Kerry FC1-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC2-2Kerry FC
- Kerry FC2-4Treaty United FC
- Kerry FC1-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC1-1Kerry FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Treaty United FC: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kerry FC | Treaty United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.6 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kerry FC 0–4–2 Treaty United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 17/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Treaty United FC |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 13/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Kerry FC | 2-4 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 26/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 04/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kerry FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 64 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 44 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 41 | 43 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 40 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 34 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 41 | 34 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 56 | 22 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kerry FC | Treaty United FC |
|---|---|---|
| UCD | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Cork City | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Cobh Ramblers | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Bray Wanderers | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Finn Harps | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Longford Town | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Athlone Town | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kerry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kerry FC vs Treaty United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kerry FC win (46%). Probabilities: Kerry FC 46%, draw 27%, Treaty United FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Kerry FC vs Treaty United FC?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Kerry FC 1.61 · Treaty United FC 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kerry FC vs Treaty United FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.