Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 22/08, 20:30

Prediction: Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers

Team pages: Longford Town · Bray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Longford Town1.88

Bray Wanderers1.36

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Longford Town Draw Bray Wanderers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Longford Town 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Bray Wanderers 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Longford Town 2–1–3 Bray Wanderers (6 last)

Bray Wanderers5-2Longford Town
Longford Town1-0Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers1-1Longford Town
Bray Wanderers0-2Longford Town
Longford Town1-2Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers4-0Longford Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Longford Town	Bray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:35 +1’	3.06	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 2–1–3 Bray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	5-2 HT 1-0	Longford Town
11/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Bray Wanderers
13/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	1-1 HT 1-0	Longford Town
26/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	0-2 HT 0-1	Longford Town
26/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	1-2 HT 1-1	Bray Wanderers
18/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	4-0 HT 2-0	Longford Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	27	20	3	4	57	23	63
2	Bray Wanderers	27	12	7	8	54	37	43
3	UCD	27	13	4	10	46	32	43
4	Longford Town	27	10	7	10	35	34	37
5	Cobh Ramblers	27	11	4	12	29	37	37
6	Kerry FC	27	9	8	10	34	33	35
7	Wexford FC	27	9	7	11	32	39	34
8	Athlone Town	27	8	7	12	26	33	31
9	Treaty United FC	27	7	8	12	26	39	29
10	Finn Harps	27	5	7	15	21	53	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Longford Town	Bray Wanderers
Athlone Town	1-2 L	1-0 W
Finn Harps	5-0 W	5-0 W
Wexford FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Cork City	4-3 W	0-2 L
UCD	2-1 W	6-0 W
Kerry FC	1-2 L	0-4 L
Cobh Ramblers	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Longford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-0	5	5	W
31/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
25/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
18/07	Baldoyle United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	3-0	8-0	9	0	W
10/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	4-3	8	4	W
04/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-1	1	6	W
26/06	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
19/06	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-5	3	6	L
13/06	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-1	2	5	W

Bray Wanderers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Galway United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
07/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	1-2	6	10	L
31/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
24/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
17/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
10/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	6-0	2	3	W
03/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
30/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/06	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Longford Town win (49%). Probabilities: Longford Town 49%, draw 24%, Bray Wanderers 27%.

How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Longford Town 1.88 · Bray Wanderers 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.