Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 05/09, 20:30

Prediction: Longford Town vs Kerry FC

Team pages: Longford Town · Kerry FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Longford Town1.81

Kerry FC1.43

1X2

46% 25% 30%

Longford Town Draw Kerry FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Longford Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWLWD

Kerry FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Longford Town 2–1–3 Kerry FC (6 last)

Kerry FC2-1Longford Town
Longford Town1-0Kerry FC
Kerry FC1-1Longford Town
Kerry FC1-0Longford Town
Longford Town3-1Kerry FC
Kerry FC2-0Longford Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kerry FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Longford Town	Kerry FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	2.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.01

Under 2.751.79

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.33 → 2.33	Pinn 2.33
X	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62
2	2.77 → 2.77	Pinn 2.77

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:24	2.33	3.62	2.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 2–1–3 Kerry FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Longford Town
25/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	1-0 HT 1-0	Kerry FC
27/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Longford Town
22/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Longford Town
12/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	3-1 HT 2-0	Kerry FC
30/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Longford Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	29	21	4	4	61	25	67
2	UCD	29	14	5	10	52	37	47
3	Bray Wanderers	29	12	7	10	57	43	43
4	Longford Town	29	11	8	10	41	38	41
5	Cobh Ramblers	29	12	5	12	34	40	41
6	Kerry FC	29	10	9	10	38	35	39
7	Athlone Town	29	10	7	12	30	34	37
8	Wexford FC	29	9	7	13	32	43	34
9	Treaty United FC	29	7	9	13	29	44	30
10	Finn Harps	29	5	7	17	26	61	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Longford Town	Kerry FC
Cobh Ramblers	2-2 D	3-0 W
Bray Wanderers	4-2 W	4-0 W
Finn Harps	5-0 W	2-1 W
Treaty United FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Wexford FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Cork City	4-3 W	1-3 L
UCD	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Longford Town

LLWWLWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
22/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	4-2	4	6	W
07/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-0	5	5	W
31/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
25/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
10/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	4-3	8	4	W
04/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-1	1	6	W
26/06	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
19/06	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-5	3	6	L

Kerry FC

WWLDWWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
21/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
07/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
03/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-0	3-0	4	8	W
31/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
24/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
10/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
03/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	2	8	L
26/06	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-1	4	0	W
19/06	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Kerry FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Longford Town win (46%). Probabilities: Longford Town 46%, draw 25%, Kerry FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Kerry FC?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Longford Town 1.81 · Kerry FC 1.43), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Kerry FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.