Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 04/09, 20:45
Prediction: Treaty United FC vs Wexford FC
Team pages: Treaty United FC · Wexford FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Treaty United FC1.62
Wexford FC0.93
1X2
Treaty United FC
Draw
Wexford FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Treaty United FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Wexford FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treaty United FC
2–2–2
Wexford FC
(6 last)
- Wexford FC0-0Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC1-0Wexford FC
- Wexford FC3-2Treaty United FC
- Wexford FC0-2Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC0-0Wexford FC
- Wexford FC2-0Treaty United FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Treaty United FC (rating 1493 vs 1444).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treaty United FC | Wexford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treaty United FC 2–2–2 Wexford FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 04/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wexford FC |
| 27/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 23/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wexford FC |
| 21/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Treaty United FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 67 |
| 2 | UCD | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 47 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 43 | 43 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 41 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 41 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 37 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 43 | 34 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 44 | 30 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 61 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treaty United FC | Wexford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry FC | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Cork City | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| UCD | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Longford Town | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Athlone Town | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Finn Harps | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Treaty United FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
Wexford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 31/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treaty United FC vs Wexford FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Treaty United FC win (52%). Probabilities: Treaty United FC 52%, draw 27%, Wexford FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Treaty United FC vs Wexford FC?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Treaty United FC 1.62 · Wexford FC 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Treaty United FC vs Wexford FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.