Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 25/07, 18:00

Prediction: Galway United vs Waterford FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Galway United1.93

Waterford FC1.91

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Galway United Draw Waterford FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Galway United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Waterford FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Galway United 2–2–2 Waterford FC (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterford FC (rating 1487 vs 1539).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Galway United	Waterford FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98
X	3.92 → 3.92	Pinn 3.92
2	3.36 → 3.36	Pinn 3.36

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:17	1.98	3.92	3.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway United 2–2–2 Waterford FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Waterford FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Galway United
16/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	4-3 HT 2-2	Waterford FC
01/11/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Waterford FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Galway United
25/07/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	2-4 HT 0-1	Waterford FC
09/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Waterford FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Galway United
14/03/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	1-0 HT 0-0	Waterford FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40	22	50
2	Bohemians Dublin	25	12	7	6	40	27	43
3	St Patricks	24	12	6	6	39	20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38	36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35	35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32	31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32	39	27
8	Drogheda United	24	6	7	11	29	41	25
9	Waterford FC	24	4	9	11	33	47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20	40	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Galway United	Waterford FC
Sligo Rovers	3-2 W	4-0 W
St Patricks	0-3 L	1-1 D
Shamrock Rovers	1-3 L	0-2 L
Derry City	2-1 W	4-2 W
Dundalk	0-1 L	3-2 W
Shelbourne	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Waterford FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Galway United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Crumlin United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
03/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
26/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
19/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
12/06	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/05	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
22/05	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	2-4	5	2	L
16/05	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	4-1	6	5	W
08/05	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	1-3	5	4	L

Waterford FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-1	2-1	12	6	W
10/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
03/07	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	4-2	7	3	W
26/06	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	3-2	3	3	W
19/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
12/06	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	4-0	4	5	W
29/05	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	3-3	5	9	D
22/05	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
18/05	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
15/05	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-2	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Galway United vs Waterford FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Galway United win (39%). Probabilities: Galway United 39%, draw 23%, Waterford FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Galway United vs Waterford FC?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Galway United 1.93 · Waterford FC 1.91), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Galway United vs Waterford FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.