Prediction: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Dundalk1.77
Sligo Rovers1.17
1X2
50% 26% 24%
Dundalk Draw Sligo Rovers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dundalk 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWWLLLWD
Sligo Rovers 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLDLLLWD
Head-to-head
Dundalk 2–1–3 Sligo Rovers (6 last)
  • Sligo Rovers2-0Dundalk
  • Dundalk1-0Sligo Rovers
  • Dundalk0-2Sligo Rovers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sligo Rovers: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DundalkSligo Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.31.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.22.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.12.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundalk 213 Sligo Rovers

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Sligo Rovers2-0
HT 1-0
Dundalk
16/03/26
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Dundalk1-0
HT 0-0
Sligo Rovers
18/07/25
Republic of Ireland FAI Cup
Dundalk0-2
HT 0-0
Sligo Rovers
21/09/24
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Sligo Rovers2-1
HT 0-1
Dundalk
13/06/24
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Dundalk1-0
HT 0-0
Sligo Rovers
19/04/24
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Sligo Rovers1-1
HT 1-0
Dundalk

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shamrock Rovers 251555 402250
2 St Patricks 251276 402143
3 Bohemians Dublin 251276 402743
4 Dundalk 25997 393736
5 Shelbourne 248106 353534
6 Derry City 256118 323129
7 Galway United 237610 323927
8 Drogheda United 246711 294125
9 Waterford FC 244911 334721
10 Sligo Rovers 245514 204020

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDundalkSligo Rovers
St Patricks 1-1 D 0-2 L
Drogheda United 1-2 L 2-2 D
Shelbourne 1-2 L 2-2 D
Waterford FC 2-3 L 0-4 L
Bohemians Dublin 2-1 W 1-3 L
Galway United 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dundalk (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dundalk

DLWWWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 St Patricks
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 1-1 37 D
17/07 St Mochtas
Republic of Ireland FAI Cup
2-0 3-1 107 W
10/07 Drogheda United
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 1-2 102 L
03/07 Shelbourne
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-2 1-2 59 L
26/06 Waterford FC
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
2-1 2-3 63 L
19/06 Bohemians Dublin
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-1 2-1 44 W
12/06 Galway United
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-0 1-0 93 W
29/05 Derry City
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 2-1 65 W
26/05 St Patricks
Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup
0-1 0-1 71 L
22/05 Drogheda United
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 1-1 26 D

Sligo Rovers

WLLLDLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Drogheda United
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
2-1 2-2 43 D
18/07 Janesboro FC
Republic of Ireland FAI Cup
2-0 4-0 91 W
14/07 Coleraine
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-2 30 L
11/07 Galway United
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 2-3 05 L
03/07 Shamrock Rovers
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 1-2 36 L
27/06 Shelbourne
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
1-0 2-2 32 D
19/06 St Patricks
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-0 0-2 73 L
12/06 Waterford FC
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 0-4 55 L
29/05 Bohemians Dublin
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 1-3 23 L
22/05 Shamrock Rovers
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
0-1 2-1 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dundalk win (50%). Probabilities: Dundalk 50%, draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 24%.

How many goals are expected in Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Dundalk 1.77 · Sligo Rovers 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.