Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 31/07, 21:00

Prediction: Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Drogheda United1.26

Shamrock Rovers1.34

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Drogheda United Draw Shamrock Rovers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Drogheda United 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLLWWD

Shamrock Rovers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWDL

Head-to-head

Drogheda United 0–2–4 Shamrock Rovers (6 last)

Shamrock Rovers4-1Drogheda United
Drogheda United0-0Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United1-1Shamrock Rovers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (rating 1466 vs 1532).
H2H favours Shamrock Rovers: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Drogheda United	Shamrock Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.01

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.26 → 4.68▲	Pinn 4.68
X	3.52 → 3.67▲	Pinn 3.67
2	1.81 → 1.74▼	Pinn 1.74

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:52	4.26	3.52	1.81
22:38 +1’	4.68▲	3.67▲	1.74▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Drogheda United 0–2–4 Shamrock Rovers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	4-1 HT 2-0	Drogheda United
16/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	0-0 HT 0-0	Shamrock Rovers
12/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	Drogheda United	1-1 HT 0-1	Shamrock Rovers
31/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-1 HT 1-0	Drogheda United
16/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	1-2 HT 1-1	Shamrock Rovers
09/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	3-0 HT 0-0	Drogheda United

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40	22	50
2	St Patricks	25	12	7	6	40	21	43
3	Bohemians Dublin	25	12	7	6	40	27	43
4	Dundalk	25	9	9	7	39	37	36
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35	35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32	31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32	39	27
8	Drogheda United	24	6	7	11	29	41	25
9	Waterford FC	24	4	9	11	33	47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20	40	20

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Drogheda United	Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers	2-2 D	2-1 W
Derry City	0-2 L	1-1 D
Shelbourne	2-2 D	1-2 L
Waterford FC	3-3 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Drogheda United

LDDLDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	2-2	9	3	D
17/07	Lucan United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	2-0	4-0	8	4	W
10/07	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
03/07	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
26/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
19/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
29/05	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	3-3	2	9	D
22/05	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
18/05	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-2	4	7	L

Shamrock Rovers

LWDWWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
17/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	1-1	11	5	D
14/07	Floriana UEFA Champions League Qualifying	2-1	5-1	6	4	W
07/07	Floriana UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
03/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
30/06	Hibernian Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
26/06	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-1	2	1	W
22/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
19/06	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
12/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamrock Rovers win (37%). Probabilities: Drogheda United 34%, draw 29%, Shamrock Rovers 37%.

How many goals are expected in Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Drogheda United 1.26 · Shamrock Rovers 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.