Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 24/07, 20:45
Prediction: UCD vs Cork City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
UCD1.33
Cork City1.61
1X2
UCD
Draw
Cork City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UCD
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Cork City
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UCD
0–2–4
Cork City
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1481 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Cork City: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UCD | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UCD 0–2–4 Cork City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 3-1 HT 1-0 | UCD |
| 20/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 06/09/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 03/06/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 12/04/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 01/03/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | UCD |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 15 | 54 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 37 |
| 3 | UCD | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 36 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Wexford FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 28 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 27 |
| 8 | Kerry FC | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 26 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 34 | 23 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 38 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UCD | Cork City |
|---|---|---|
| Treaty United FC | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 0-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Longford Town | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Finn Harps | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Athlone Town | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cork City (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UCD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Cork City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Cardiff Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UCD vs Cork City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cork City win (43%). Probabilities: UCD 30%, draw 27%, Cork City 43%.
How many goals are expected in UCD vs Cork City?
The model expects 2.94 goals (UCD 1.33 · Cork City 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UCD vs Cork City?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.